Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
WMT
283 historical chart-shape analogs of WMT as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.32
moderate
5d median
+0.87%
hit-rate 59%
5d IQR
[-2.52%, +5.48%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-6.72%, +9.42%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+2.57%
IQR
[-3.21%, +8.00%]
Hit-rate
62%
Top 5-day features
hy_oas(positive)
importance 1.09
dollar_volume_z(negative)
importance 1.00
cross_sectional_momentum_rank(negative)
importance 0.85
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Uptrend (13% of pool)
middle 50%: +1.1% to +9.0%
+5.8%
82% up
Smooth sideways (+2.1%) (38% of pool)
middle 50%: -1.2% to +6.2%
+2.1%
70% up
Smooth sideways (-0.4%) (34% of pool)
middle 50%: -3.7% to +2.5%
-0.4%
45% up
Downtrend (12% of pool)
middle 50%: -6.0% to +1.4%
-2.7%
40% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.32 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-6.72%, +9.42%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open WMT in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:33:47.348138+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (3656ms retrieval at build time).