Cohort snapshot · 2026-05-07

WMT

267 historical chart-shape analogs of WMT as of 2026-05-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.66

strong

5d median

-0.14%

hit-rate 47%

5d IQR

[-2.11%, +1.75%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-3.74%, +3.95%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

-0.63%

IQR

[-3.47%, +2.91%]

Hit-rate

45%

Top 5-day features

credit_spread_state=normal(negative)

importance 1.54

sector_etf=XLB(negative)

importance 1.13

sector_etf=XLK(positive)

importance 1.01

How to read this

Consensus 0.66 is in the strong band — historical analogs of WMT's current chart shape agreed on direction. The IQR is tradeable: a stop at the 10th percentile (-3.74%) and a target at the 75th percentile (+1.75%) reflects what the cohort historically realized. Position sizing scales with consensus.

Live cohort

This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-anchor feature attribution:

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