Cohort snapshot · 2026-05-07

ABNB

268 historical chart-shape analogs of ABNB as of 2026-05-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.55

strong

5d median

+0.71%

hit-rate 59%

5d IQR

[-1.95%, +2.66%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-4.53%, +5.72%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

+0.91%

IQR

[-2.43%, +4.35%]

Hit-rate

59%

Top 5-day features

yield_curve_state=normal(positive)

importance 1.27

yield_curve_state=inverted(negative)

importance 0.98

vix(positive)

importance 0.92

How to read this

Consensus 0.55 is in the strong band — historical analogs of ABNB's current chart shape agreed on direction. The IQR is tradeable: a stop at the 10th percentile (-4.53%) and a target at the 75th percentile (+2.66%) reflects what the cohort historically realized. Position sizing scales with consensus.

Live cohort

This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-anchor feature attribution:

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