Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
ABNB
262 historical chart-shape analogs of ABNB as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.51
moderate
5d median
-0.33%
hit-rate 48%
5d IQR
[-3.00%, +2.73%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-6.27%, +6.25%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
-0.90%
IQR
[-4.44%, +2.61%]
Hit-rate
42%
Top 5-day features
hy_oas(positive)
importance 1.50
broke_ath=false(negative)
importance 1.28
credit_spread_state=normal(negative)
importance 0.83
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Smooth uptrend (13% of pool)
middle 50%: -1.5% to +7.4%
+2.9%
70% up
Smooth sideways (52% of pool)
middle 50%: -1.7% to +2.7%
+0.2%
54% up
Smooth downtrend (29% of pool)
middle 50%: -4.8% to +0.2%
-1.9%
30% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.51 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-6.27%, +6.25%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open ABNB in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
GILD
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.82%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:32:15.734134+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (5683ms retrieval at build time).