Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-17
ABNB
286 historical chart-shape analogs of ABNB as of 2026-08-17, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.34
moderate
5d median
-0.27%
hit-rate 47%
5d IQR
[-3.20%, +2.94%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-7.25%, +7.62%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+0.28%
IQR
[-4.75%, +3.83%]
Hit-rate
51%
Top 5-day features
broke_ath=false(positive)
importance 1.41
vix(negative)
importance 1.00
momentum_20d(negative)
importance 0.98
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Smooth uptrend (23% of pool)
middle 50%: -1.0% to +6.8%
+2.2%
65% up
Smooth sideways (51% of pool)
middle 50%: -2.8% to +2.3%
-0.2%
48% up
Downtrend (21% of pool)
middle 50%: -5.7% to -0.5%
-3.2%
21% up
Was this useful?
How to read this
Consensus 0.34 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-7.25%, +7.62%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open ABNB in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
GILD
consensus 0.68 · 5d +0.85%
XOM
consensus 0.67 · 5d +0.83%
C
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.35%
BAC
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.27%
JPM
consensus 0.63 · 5d +0.62%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d +0.64%
PFE
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.64%
ASML
consensus 0.53 · 5d -0.68%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +1.30%
GS
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.19%
LLY
consensus 0.51 · 5d +0.15%
AVGO
consensus 0.50 · 5d -0.15%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-18T04:32:35.425629+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (7367ms retrieval at build time).