Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-17
VRTX
258 historical chart-shape analogs of VRTX as of 2026-08-17, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.42
moderate
5d median
+0.12%
hit-rate 52%
5d IQR
[-2.45%, +2.82%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-5.06%, +8.68%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+0.37%
IQR
[-3.92%, +5.77%]
Hit-rate
52%
Top 5-day features
vix_term_structure(positive)
importance 0.85
pct_off_ath(negative)
importance 0.84
vol_regime=low(negative)
importance 0.71
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Uptrend (3% of pool)
middle 50%: +1.5% to +12.2%
+8.2%
89% up
Smooth sideways (+1.7%) (34% of pool)
middle 50%: -0.5% to +5.1%
+1.7%
68% up
Smooth sideways (-1.1%) (38% of pool)
middle 50%: -2.6% to +1.4%
-1.1%
41% up
Smooth downtrend (21% of pool)
middle 50%: -4.8% to +1.3%
-1.4%
36% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.42 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-5.06%, +8.68%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open VRTX in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
GILD
consensus 0.68 · 5d +0.85%
XOM
consensus 0.67 · 5d +0.83%
C
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.35%
BAC
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.27%
JPM
consensus 0.63 · 5d +0.62%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d +0.64%
PFE
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.64%
ASML
consensus 0.53 · 5d -0.68%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +1.30%
GS
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.19%
LLY
consensus 0.51 · 5d +0.15%
AVGO
consensus 0.50 · 5d -0.15%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-18T04:34:01.447273+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (4807ms retrieval at build time).