Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
VRTX
277 historical chart-shape analogs of VRTX as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.48
moderate
5d median
+0.63%
hit-rate 57%
5d IQR
[-1.99%, +3.30%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-5.08%, +7.09%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+1.28%
IQR
[-2.04%, +5.18%]
Hit-rate
60%
Top 5-day features
vrp(positive)
importance 1.27
opex_week=false(positive)
importance 1.05
spy_ret_60d(positive)
importance 1.00
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Uptrend (12% of pool)
middle 50%: +1.4% to +9.4%
+4.3%
82% up
Smooth sideways (+1.0%) (34% of pool)
middle 50%: -1.1% to +3.8%
+1.0%
65% up
Smooth sideways (-0.5%) (34% of pool)
middle 50%: -2.4% to +2.1%
-0.5%
45% up
Smooth downtrend (15% of pool)
middle 50%: -4.7% to +1.5%
-0.7%
48% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.48 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-5.08%, +7.09%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open VRTX in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:33:39.723995+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (5687ms retrieval at build time).