Cohort snapshot · 2026-05-07

VRTX

271 historical chart-shape analogs of VRTX as of 2026-05-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.48

moderate

5d median

+0.02%

hit-rate 50%

5d IQR

[-2.35%, +2.27%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-5.71%, +4.36%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

+0.15%

IQR

[-4.07%, +3.34%]

Hit-rate

50%

Top 5-day features

sector_etf=XLU(positive)

importance 1.51

has_news=__missing__(negative)

importance 1.26

sector_etf=XLF(negative)

importance 0.84

How to read this

Consensus 0.48 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-5.71%, +4.36%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.

Live cohort

This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-anchor feature attribution:

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