Cohort snapshot · 2026-05-07

C

285 historical chart-shape analogs of C as of 2026-05-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.65

strong

5d median

+0.05%

hit-rate 51%

5d IQR

[-2.27%, +1.92%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-5.34%, +3.69%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

+0.08%

IQR

[-2.86%, +2.94%]

Hit-rate

51%

Top 5-day features

vol_regime=low(positive)

importance 1.46

sector_etf=XLB(positive)

importance 1.42

sector_etf=XLF(positive)

importance 1.27

How to read this

Consensus 0.65 is in the strong band — historical analogs of C's current chart shape agreed on direction. The IQR is tradeable: a stop at the 10th percentile (-5.34%) and a target at the 75th percentile (+1.92%) reflects what the cohort historically realized. Position sizing scales with consensus.

Live cohort

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