Cohort snapshot · 2026-06-19

C

291 historical chart-shape analogs of C as of 2026-06-19, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.66

strong

5d median

+0.34%

hit-rate 54%

5d IQR

[-1.61%, +2.26%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-3.40%, +4.49%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

-0.31%

IQR

[-2.68%, +3.45%]

Hit-rate

45%

Top 5-day features

hy_oas(positive)

importance 0.99

vol_regime=low(positive)

importance 0.99

volume_acceleration_5d(positive)

importance 0.77

Historical playbook

300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.

Outcome modes

300 analogs · 4 clusters · 5-day return

Uptrend

middle 50%: +2.8% to +6.7%

3 setups

+5.7%

67% up

Smooth sideways (+2.0%)

middle 50%: +0.4% to +3.7%

69 setups

+2.0%

81% up

Smooth sideways (-0.0%)

middle 50%: -1.8% to +1.8%

136 setups

-0.0%

49% up

Smooth sideways (-2.3%)

middle 50%: -5.1% to +1.2%

43 setups

-2.3%

28% up

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How to read this

Consensus 0.66 is in the strong band — historical analogs of C's current chart shape agreed on direction. The IQR is tradeable: a stop at the 10th percentile (-3.40%) and a target at the 75th percentile (+2.26%) reflects what the cohort historically realized. Position sizing scales with consensus.

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