Cohort snapshot · 2026-06-19

PFE

270 historical chart-shape analogs of PFE as of 2026-06-19, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.61

strong

5d median

+0.58%

hit-rate 59%

5d IQR

[-1.50%, +2.81%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-3.24%, +4.86%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

+0.81%

IQR

[-1.84%, +2.92%]

Hit-rate

57%

Top 5-day features

volume_acceleration_5d(negative)

importance 1.08

days_since_ath(positive)

importance 0.87

range_expansion_z(negative)

importance 0.79

Historical playbook

300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.

Outcome modes

300 analogs · 4 clusters · 5-day return

Smooth uptrend

middle 50%: +0.7% to +5.9%

51 setups

+2.2%

83% up

Smooth sideways (+0.7%)

middle 50%: -0.8% to +2.6%

146 setups

+0.7%

64% up

Smooth sideways (-0.8%)

middle 50%: -3.0% to +1.3%

80 setups

-0.8%

36% up

Smooth downtrend

middle 50%: -3.4% to -0.3%

9 setups

-1.9%

25% up

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How to read this

Consensus 0.61 is in the strong band — historical analogs of PFE's current chart shape agreed on direction. The IQR is tradeable: a stop at the 10th percentile (-3.24%) and a target at the 75th percentile (+2.81%) reflects what the cohort historically realized. Position sizing scales with consensus.

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