Cohort snapshot · 2026-06-19

JD

284 historical chart-shape analogs of JD as of 2026-06-19, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.48

moderate

5d median

+0.19%

hit-rate 51%

5d IQR

[-2.78%, +3.43%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-6.84%, +7.16%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

-0.46%

IQR

[-5.10%, +4.27%]

Hit-rate

46%

Top 5-day features

vix_term_structure(positive)

importance 1.17

momentum_20d(negative)

importance 1.10

cross_sectional_momentum_rank(positive)

importance 1.06

Historical playbook

300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.

Outcome modes

300 analogs · 3 clusters · 5-day return

Uptrend

middle 50%: +0.5% to +6.9%

36 setups

+4.4%

75% up

Smooth sideways

middle 50%: -1.8% to +3.0%

166 setups

+0.4%

53% up

Smooth downtrend

middle 50%: -5.3% to +1.6%

87 setups

-1.4%

38% up

Was this useful?

How to read this

Consensus 0.48 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-6.84%, +7.16%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.

Live comp set

This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:

Open JD in Chart Library →