Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
JD
274 historical chart-shape analogs of JD as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.30
weak
5d median
+0.50%
hit-rate 53%
5d IQR
[-3.11%, +3.98%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-9.17%, +8.77%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+0.89%
IQR
[-3.32%, +6.61%]
Hit-rate
56%
Top 5-day features
credit_spread_state=tight(positive)
importance 1.28
vol_regime=high(positive)
importance 1.03
opex_week=false(negative)
importance 0.69
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Sharp choppy uptrend (1% of pool)
middle 50%: +8.3% to +17.8%
+10.0%
100% up
Uptrend (23% of pool)
middle 50%: -0.9% to +6.4%
+2.2%
62% up
Smooth sideways (57% of pool)
middle 50%: -2.9% to +2.9%
+0.2%
52% up
Downtrend (12% of pool)
middle 50%: -8.7% to +1.2%
-3.2%
38% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.30 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into JD.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open JD in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:34:19.933651+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (8088ms retrieval at build time).