Cohort snapshot · 2026-05-07

JD

217 historical chart-shape analogs of JD as of 2026-05-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.13

weak

5d median

-0.37%

hit-rate 47%

5d IQR

[-4.81%, +3.45%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-8.86%, +10.03%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

-1.88%

IQR

[-8.90%, +5.53%]

Hit-rate

41%

Top 5-day features

sector_etf=XLU(positive)

importance 1.19

hy_oas(positive)

importance 1.08

sector_etf=XLK(negative)

importance 0.90

How to read this

Consensus 0.13 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into JD.

Live cohort

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