Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
DIS
289 historical chart-shape analogs of DIS as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.54
moderate
5d median
-0.15%
hit-rate 49%
5d IQR
[-2.74%, +2.18%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-6.15%, +5.45%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
-0.10%
IQR
[-4.29%, +3.19%]
Hit-rate
49%
Top 5-day features
yield_curve_state=flat(negative)
importance 1.36
sector_rs_60d(positive)
importance 1.11
macro_state=bearish(negative)
importance 0.92
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Smooth uptrend (22% of pool)
middle 50%: -1.6% to +3.6%
+1.5%
61% up
Smooth sideways (43% of pool)
middle 50%: -2.6% to +1.2%
-0.6%
42% up
Smooth downtrend (9% of pool)
middle 50%: -7.1% to -2.6%
-4.5%
8% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.54 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-6.15%, +5.45%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open DIS in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
GILD
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.82%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:32:09.701212+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (3306ms retrieval at build time).