Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-17
DIS
288 historical chart-shape analogs of DIS as of 2026-08-17, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.49
moderate
5d median
-0.00%
hit-rate 50%
5d IQR
[-3.06%, +3.33%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-6.31%, +6.17%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+0.49%
IQR
[-5.01%, +4.37%]
Hit-rate
54%
Top 5-day features
market_rs_60d(negative)
importance 1.09
vol_regime=low(negative)
importance 1.05
pct_off_ath(negative)
importance 1.05
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Smooth uptrend (22% of pool)
middle 50%: -1.3% to +5.1%
+1.7%
67% up
Smooth sideways (55% of pool)
middle 50%: -2.6% to +2.8%
+0.2%
52% up
Smooth downtrend (19% of pool)
middle 50%: -6.0% to -0.0%
-2.5%
25% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.49 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-6.31%, +6.17%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open DIS in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
GILD
consensus 0.68 · 5d +0.85%
XOM
consensus 0.67 · 5d +0.83%
C
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.35%
BAC
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.27%
JPM
consensus 0.63 · 5d +0.62%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d +0.64%
PFE
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.64%
ASML
consensus 0.53 · 5d -0.68%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +1.30%
GS
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.19%
LLY
consensus 0.51 · 5d +0.15%
AVGO
consensus 0.50 · 5d -0.15%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-18T04:32:27.697865+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (4340ms retrieval at build time).