Cohort snapshot · 2026-05-07

DIS

270 historical chart-shape analogs of DIS as of 2026-05-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.71

strong

5d median

+0.33%

hit-rate 57%

5d IQR

[-1.39%, +1.85%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-3.87%, +3.48%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

-0.01%

IQR

[-2.31%, +2.46%]

Hit-rate

49%

Top 5-day features

sector_etf=XLY(negative)

importance 1.18

credit_spread_state=normal(negative)

importance 1.02

sector_etf=XLC(positive)

importance 1.02

How to read this

Consensus 0.71 is in the strong band — historical analogs of DIS's current chart shape agreed on direction. The IQR is tradeable: a stop at the 10th percentile (-3.87%) and a target at the 75th percentile (+1.85%) reflects what the cohort historically realized. Position sizing scales with consensus.

Live cohort

This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-anchor feature attribution:

Open DIS in Chart Library →