Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-17
LOW
283 historical chart-shape analogs of LOW as of 2026-08-17, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.46
moderate
5d median
-0.08%
hit-rate 49%
5d IQR
[-3.38%, +2.75%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-7.64%, +5.78%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
-0.90%
IQR
[-6.20%, +3.19%]
Hit-rate
43%
Top 5-day features
yield_curve(positive)
importance 1.13
range_compression_z(negative)
importance 1.04
hy_oas(positive)
importance 0.99
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Smooth uptrend (26% of pool)
middle 50%: -1.0% to +5.1%
+2.0%
68% up
Smooth sideways (60% of pool)
middle 50%: -2.7% to +1.8%
-0.2%
46% up
Downtrend (10% of pool)
middle 50%: -7.5% to -0.4%
-3.8%
26% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.46 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-7.64%, +5.78%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open LOW in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
GILD
consensus 0.68 · 5d +0.85%
XOM
consensus 0.67 · 5d +0.83%
C
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.35%
BAC
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.27%
JPM
consensus 0.63 · 5d +0.62%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d +0.64%
PFE
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.64%
ASML
consensus 0.53 · 5d -0.68%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +1.30%
GS
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.19%
LLY
consensus 0.51 · 5d +0.15%
AVGO
consensus 0.50 · 5d -0.15%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-18T04:34:24.024672+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (5898ms retrieval at build time).