Cohort snapshot · 2026-06-19

LOW

281 historical chart-shape analogs of LOW as of 2026-06-19, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.58

strong

5d median

+0.13%

hit-rate 52%

5d IQR

[-1.89%, +2.85%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-4.41%, +6.41%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

+0.26%

IQR

[-2.84%, +3.76%]

Hit-rate

53%

Top 5-day features

hy_oas(positive)

importance 1.24

macro_state=bullish(negative)

importance 1.22

momentum_5d(negative)

importance 1.19

Historical playbook

300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.

Outcome modes

300 analogs · 3 clusters · 5-day return

Smooth sideways (+1.6%)

middle 50%: -1.5% to +4.2%

34 setups

+1.6%

55% up

Smooth sideways (+0.0%)

middle 50%: -2.5% to +1.4%

77 setups

+0.0%

51% up

Smooth downtrend

middle 50%: -3.8% to +0.2%

28 setups

-1.7%

33% up

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How to read this

Consensus 0.58 is in the strong band — historical analogs of LOW's current chart shape agreed on direction. The IQR is tradeable: a stop at the 10th percentile (-4.41%) and a target at the 75th percentile (+2.85%) reflects what the cohort historically realized. Position sizing scales with consensus.

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