ALPHAFORGE RESEARCH · SCORECARD

Scored at the close

No note has completed five sessions yet; the coverage rate appears here once the first one does. At session 1: 4 of 10 inside.

Excess move in percentage points versus SPY; band = p10 / median / p90 of what followed the state's analogs. Notes whose realized move fell outside a band are listed first, then newest first.

Note1d band1d actual5d band5d actual10d band10d actual
ENVA
2026-09-14
-3.4 / +0.2 / +3.0-23.0 outside-8.0 / +0.4 / +7.12026-09-21-8.9 / +1.0 / +13.12026-09-28
VRT
2026-09-11
-1.9 / -0.0 / +1.9-7.2 outside-5.2 / -0.0 / +5.72026-09-18-6.8 / +0.4 / +7.12026-09-25
NBIS
2026-09-11
-5.0 / -0.1 / +4.3-5.1 outside-10.0 / -0.2 / +12.32026-09-18-17.2 / -0.2 / +21.02026-09-25
CRDO
2026-09-11
-2.6 / -0.1 / +2.3-7.5 outside-5.9 / -0.3 / +4.62026-09-18-6.5 / -0.3 / +6.52026-09-25
BE
2026-09-11
-3.1 / -0.2 / +3.0-6.3 outside-7.8 / -0.4 / +5.72026-09-18-10.5 / -0.4 / +8.52026-09-25
ARMP
2026-09-11
-2.7 / +0.0 / +3.4+3.6 outside-7.2 / -0.0 / +10.62026-09-18-10.9 / +1.1 / +15.12026-09-25
VERA
2026-09-14
-3.5 / +0.1 / +4.1-0.7 inside-8.2 / +0.6 / +10.72026-09-21-11.7 / +0.3 / +17.42026-09-28
FPS
2026-09-14
no band+10.0no band2026-09-21no band2026-09-28
ORCL
2026-09-11
-4.7 / +0.0 / +5.1-3.2 inside-9.3 / +0.2 / +10.92026-09-18-12.7 / +0.3 / +13.52026-09-25
LPTH
2026-09-11
-4.5 / +0.2 / +5.3-0.5 inside-8.1 / +0.6 / +10.32026-09-18-11.3 / +0.9 / +15.12026-09-25
GRRR
2026-09-11
-3.1 / +0.0 / +3.0-2.3 inside-7.6 / +0.2 / +8.02026-09-18-10.0 / -0.3 / +12.02026-09-25
ELMT
2026-09-11
no band+33.2no band2026-09-18no band2026-09-25

Generated Sep 16, 2026 · 11:18 am ET · JSON · RSS