{"notes":[{"symbol":"ENVA","slug":"enva-charter-withdrawal-expectations-20260915","title":"Enova: The Bank Charter Is Gone, the Guidance Is Not, and the Stock Reprices","session":"2026-09-15","market_asof":"2026-09-14","url":"https://chartlibrary.io/research/views/enva-charter-withdrawal-expectations-20260915","state":"up/above/off/stuck/quiet/strong/some","memory_status":"ok","analogs":{"n":300,"symbols":220,"sessions":216},"band":{"1d":{"p10":-3.383,"p50":0.166,"p90":2.975,"p_up":0.547,"n":300},"5d":{"p10":-8.029,"p50":0.353,"p90":7.116,"p_up":0.527,"n":300},"10d":{"p10":-8.931,"p50":1.001,"p90":13.1,"p_up":0.55,"n":300}},"actual":{"1d":{"date":"2026-09-15","excess":-22.97,"inside":false},"5d":null,"10d":null},"pending":{"5d":"2026-09-21","10d":"2026-09-28"},"warnings":["Sector classification is unavailable in the market-state fields. The returned comparisons do not establish a sector match.","Available descriptive industry label: \"Finance/Insurance/Real Estate\". Its classification system and historical validity are unverified."]},{"symbol":"VRT","slug":"vrt-power-project-timing-20260913","title":"Vertiv: Power Constraints, Project Timing, and the AI Spending Test","session":"2026-09-13","market_asof":"2026-09-11","url":"https://chartlibrary.io/research/views/vrt-power-project-timing-20260913","state":"up/below/off/stuck/ordinary/mid/some","memory_status":"ok","analogs":{"n":300,"symbols":193,"sessions":217},"band":{"1d":{"p10":-1.922,"p50":-0.047,"p90":1.907,"p_up":0.47,"n":300},"5d":{"p10":-5.245,"p50":-0.036,"p90":5.681,"p_up":0.493,"n":300},"10d":{"p10":-6.85,"p50":0.439,"p90":7.077,"p_up":0.55,"n":300}},"actual":{"1d":{"date":"2026-09-14","excess":-7.21,"inside":false},"5d":null,"10d":null},"pending":{"5d":"2026-09-18","10d":"2026-09-25"},"warnings":["Sector classification is unavailable in the market-state fields. The returned comparisons do not establish a sector match.","Available descriptive industry label: \"Manufacturing\". Its classification system and historical validity are unverified."]},{"symbol":"NBIS","slug":"nbis-growth-cash-per-share-20260914","title":"Nebius: The Demand Is Real. What Reaches Each Share?","session":"2026-09-14","market_asof":"2026-09-11","url":"https://chartlibrary.io/research/views/nbis-growth-cash-per-share-20260914","state":"up/above/off/stuck/quiet/weak/some","memory_status":"ok","analogs":{"n":300,"symbols":174,"sessions":237},"band":{"1d":{"p10":-4.99,"p50":-0.051,"p90":4.306,"p_up":0.49,"n":300},"5d":{"p10":-10.032,"p50":-0.211,"p90":12.331,"p_up":0.483,"n":300},"10d":{"p10":-17.213,"p50":-0.175,"p90":21.041,"p_up":0.5,"n":300}},"actual":{"1d":{"date":"2026-09-14","excess":-5.06,"inside":false},"5d":null,"10d":null},"pending":{"5d":"2026-09-18","10d":"2026-09-25"},"warnings":["Sector classification is unavailable in the market-state fields. The returned comparisons do not establish a sector match.","Available descriptive industry label: \"Services\". Its classification system and historical validity are unverified.","Missing market context: tape.market_cap_asof. These fields cannot support conclusions; available state comparisons are retained."]},{"symbol":"CRDO","slug":"crdo-growth-expectations-20260914","title":"Credo: Strong AI Growth Meets a More Demanding Stock Market","session":"2026-09-14","market_asof":"2026-09-11","url":"https://chartlibrary.io/research/views/crdo-growth-expectations-20260914","state":"up/below/off/stuck/ordinary/mid/some","memory_status":"ok","analogs":{"n":300,"symbols":199,"sessions":237},"band":{"1d":{"p10":-2.596,"p50":-0.093,"p90":2.275,"p_up":0.483,"n":300},"5d":{"p10":-5.945,"p50":-0.339,"p90":4.647,"p_up":0.46,"n":300},"10d":{"p10":-6.466,"p50":-0.345,"p90":6.481,"p_up":0.49,"n":300}},"actual":{"1d":{"date":"2026-09-14","excess":-7.45,"inside":false},"5d":null,"10d":null},"pending":{"5d":"2026-09-18","10d":"2026-09-25"},"warnings":["Sector classification is unavailable in the market-state fields. The returned comparisons do not establish a sector match.","Available descriptive industry label: \"Manufacturing\". Its classification system and historical validity are unverified."]},{"symbol":"BE","slug":"be-power-growth-expectations-powl-20260913","title":"Bloom Energy: the power opportunity is real. What is already expected?","session":"2026-09-13","market_asof":"2026-09-11","url":"https://chartlibrary.io/research/views/be-power-growth-expectations-powl-20260913","state":"up/above/off/stuck/ordinary/strong/some","memory_status":"ok","analogs":{"n":300,"symbols":202,"sessions":236},"band":{"1d":{"p10":-3.142,"p50":-0.239,"p90":2.953,"p_up":0.44,"n":300},"5d":{"p10":-7.83,"p50":-0.365,"p90":5.746,"p_up":0.463,"n":300},"10d":{"p10":-10.472,"p50":-0.412,"p90":8.485,"p_up":0.467,"n":300}},"actual":{"1d":{"date":"2026-09-14","excess":-6.34,"inside":false},"5d":null,"10d":null},"pending":{"5d":"2026-09-18","10d":"2026-09-25"},"warnings":["Sector classification is unavailable in the market-state fields. The returned comparisons do not establish a sector match.","Available descriptive industry label: \"Manufacturing\". Its classification system and historical validity are unverified."]},{"symbol":"ARMP","slug":"armp-breakthrough-financing-20260914","title":"Armata: A Clinical Milestone Still Needs a Funding Path","session":"2026-09-14","market_asof":"2026-09-11","url":"https://chartlibrary.io/research/views/armp-breakthrough-financing-20260914","state":"down/below/off/stuck/quiet/weak/some","memory_status":"ok","analogs":{"n":300,"symbols":168,"sessions":250},"band":{"1d":{"p10":-2.744,"p50":0.001,"p90":3.433,"p_up":0.5,"n":300},"5d":{"p10":-7.216,"p50":-0.002,"p90":10.564,"p_up":0.497,"n":300},"10d":{"p10":-10.928,"p50":1.05,"p90":15.119,"p_up":0.54,"n":300}},"actual":{"1d":{"date":"2026-09-14","excess":3.61,"inside":false},"5d":null,"10d":null},"pending":{"5d":"2026-09-18","10d":"2026-09-25"},"warnings":["Sector classification is unavailable in the market-state fields. The returned comparisons do not establish a sector match.","Available descriptive industry label: \"Manufacturing\". Its classification system and historical validity are unverified.","Missing market context: tape.market_cap_asof. These fields cannot support conclusions; available state comparisons are retained."]},{"symbol":"VERA","slug":"vera-origin3-launch-expectations-20260915","title":"Vera: Two-Year Kidney Data Settle the Science; the Launch Curve Now Sets the Price","session":"2026-09-15","market_asof":"2026-09-14","url":"https://chartlibrary.io/research/views/vera-origin3-launch-expectations-20260915","state":"down/below/off/stuck/ordinary/weak/crowd_in","memory_status":"ok","analogs":{"n":300,"symbols":173,"sessions":203},"band":{"1d":{"p10":-3.45,"p50":0.12,"p90":4.081,"p_up":0.517,"n":300},"5d":{"p10":-8.156,"p50":0.618,"p90":10.703,"p_up":0.543,"n":300},"10d":{"p10":-11.703,"p50":0.295,"p90":17.384,"p_up":0.507,"n":300}},"actual":{"1d":{"date":"2026-09-15","excess":-0.66,"inside":true},"5d":null,"10d":null},"pending":{"5d":"2026-09-21","10d":"2026-09-28"},"warnings":["Sector classification is unavailable in the market-state fields. The returned comparisons do not establish a sector match.","Available descriptive industry label: \"Manufacturing\". Its classification system and historical validity are unverified."]},{"symbol":"FPS","slug":"fps-backlog-conversion-sponsor-supply-20260915","title":"Forgent: A $3.0 Billion Backlog, a 37% Sponsor Stake, and the Conversion Test","session":"2026-09-15","market_asof":"2026-09-14","url":"https://chartlibrary.io/research/views/fps-backlog-conversion-sponsor-supply-20260915","state":null,"memory_status":"empty","analogs":{"n":0,"symbols":0,"sessions":0},"band":{"1d":null,"5d":null,"10d":null},"actual":{"1d":{"date":"2026-09-15","excess":9.96,"inside":null},"5d":null,"10d":null},"pending":{"5d":"2026-09-21","10d":"2026-09-28"},"warnings":["FPS has no happening identity on 2026-09-14 (not liquid enough, no bars, or the state for that session is not built yet)"]},{"symbol":"ORCL","slug":"orcl-growth-failed-rally-20260913","title":"Oracle: Strong Growth, a Failed Rally, and Competing Weekend Signals","session":"2026-09-13","market_asof":"2026-09-11","url":"https://chartlibrary.io/research/views/orcl-growth-failed-rally-20260913","state":"up/below/off/stuck/effort/weak/crowd_in","memory_status":"ok","analogs":{"n":300,"symbols":245,"sessions":213},"band":{"1d":{"p10":-4.67,"p50":0.008,"p90":5.142,"p_up":0.5,"n":300},"5d":{"p10":-9.27,"p50":0.221,"p90":10.855,"p_up":0.525,"n":299},"10d":{"p10":-12.712,"p50":0.263,"p90":13.519,"p_up":0.515,"n":299}},"actual":{"1d":{"date":"2026-09-14","excess":-3.21,"inside":true},"5d":null,"10d":null},"pending":{"5d":"2026-09-18","10d":"2026-09-25"},"warnings":["Sector classification is unavailable in the market-state fields. The returned comparisons do not establish a sector match.","Available descriptive industry label: \"Technology\". Its classification system and historical validity are unverified."]},{"symbol":"LPTH","slug":"lpth-defense-orders-cash-20260914","title":"LightPath: Defense Orders Are Growing. Cash Conversion Must Follow.","session":"2026-09-14","market_asof":"2026-09-11","url":"https://chartlibrary.io/research/views/lpth-defense-orders-cash-20260914","state":"down/below/off/stuck/ordinary/weak/some","memory_status":"ok","analogs":{"n":300,"symbols":169,"sessions":231},"band":{"1d":{"p10":-4.48,"p50":0.206,"p90":5.306,"p_up":0.543,"n":300},"5d":{"p10":-8.125,"p50":0.565,"p90":10.323,"p_up":0.537,"n":300},"10d":{"p10":-11.266,"p50":0.935,"p90":15.116,"p_up":0.54,"n":300}},"actual":{"1d":{"date":"2026-09-14","excess":-0.53,"inside":true},"5d":null,"10d":null},"pending":{"5d":"2026-09-18","10d":"2026-09-25"},"warnings":["Sector classification is unavailable in the market-state fields. The returned comparisons do not establish a sector match.","Available descriptive industry label: \"Manufacturing\". Its classification system and historical validity are unverified.","Missing market context: tape.market_cap_asof. These fields cannot support conclusions; available state comparisons are retained."]},{"symbol":"GRRR","slug":"grrr-contracts-cash-dilution-20260914","title":"Gorilla Technology: What Survives the Journey from Contract to Shareholder?","session":"2026-09-14","market_asof":"2026-09-11","url":"https://chartlibrary.io/research/views/grrr-contracts-cash-dilution-20260914","state":"up/below/off/stuck/quiet/weak/some","memory_status":"ok","analogs":{"n":300,"symbols":189,"sessions":240},"band":{"1d":{"p10":-3.096,"p50":0.004,"p90":3.025,"p_up":0.5,"n":300},"5d":{"p10":-7.559,"p50":0.226,"p90":8.019,"p_up":0.523,"n":300},"10d":{"p10":-9.959,"p50":-0.288,"p90":11.955,"p_up":0.473,"n":300}},"actual":{"1d":{"date":"2026-09-14","excess":-2.28,"inside":true},"5d":null,"10d":null},"pending":{"5d":"2026-09-18","10d":"2026-09-25"},"warnings":["Sector classification is unavailable in the market-state fields. The returned comparisons do not establish a sector match.","Available descriptive industry label: \"Services\". Its classification system and historical validity are unverified.","Missing market context: tape.market_cap_asof. These fields cannot support conclusions; available state comparisons are retained."]},{"symbol":"ELMT","slug":"elmt-scarcity-cash-acquisition-20260914","title":"Elmet: Government Funding, Ownership Costs and a Multiyear Expansion","session":"2026-09-14","market_asof":"2026-09-11","url":"https://chartlibrary.io/research/views/elmt-scarcity-cash-acquisition-20260914","state":null,"memory_status":"empty","analogs":{"n":0,"symbols":0,"sessions":0},"band":{"1d":null,"5d":null,"10d":null},"actual":{"1d":{"date":"2026-09-14","excess":33.24,"inside":null},"5d":null,"10d":null},"pending":{"5d":"2026-09-18","10d":"2026-09-25"},"warnings":["ELMT has no happening identity on 2026-09-11 (not liquid enough, no bars, or the state for that session is not built yet)"]}],"summary":{"notes":12,"with_band":10,"nominal":0.8,"scored_1d":10,"inside_1d":4,"coverage_1d":0.4,"scored_5d":0,"inside_5d":0,"coverage_5d":null,"scored_10d":0,"inside_10d":0,"coverage_10d":null},"method":"Actual = the note symbol's close-to-close move from the market cutoff minus SPY's move over the same sessions, in percentage points. The band is the 10th/50th/90th percentile of what followed the state's historical analogs (excess over the liquid-universe median move on each analog's date); it is a historical distribution, not a forecast, and it suggests no side.","disclaimer":"Bands are historical distributions of what followed comparable states, not forecasts. No side is suggested.","complete":true,"classification":"public_scorecard","generated_at":"2026-09-16T16:12:48.379533+00:00"}