Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
GILD
276 historical chart-shape analogs of GILD as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.48
moderate
5d median
+0.82%
hit-rate 60%
5d IQR
[-1.92%, +3.60%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-4.84%, +6.38%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+2.05%
IQR
[-3.01%, +4.91%]
Hit-rate
59%
Top 5-day features
hy_oas(positive)
importance 1.38
broke_50d_high=false(positive)
importance 1.27
relative_volume(positive)
importance 0.99
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Smooth uptrend (19% of pool)
middle 50%: -0.4% to +4.4%
+1.6%
73% up
Smooth sideways (47% of pool)
middle 50%: -1.5% to +3.1%
+0.7%
62% up
Smooth downtrend (16% of pool)
middle 50%: -6.0% to +0.2%
-2.7%
28% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.48 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-4.84%, +6.38%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open GILD in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:33:33.674643+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (3289ms retrieval at build time).