Cohort snapshot · 2026-06-19

BAC

247 historical chart-shape analogs of BAC as of 2026-06-19, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.52

moderate

5d median

+0.92%

hit-rate 62%

5d IQR

[-1.68%, +2.89%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-4.64%, +5.23%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

+1.99%

IQR

[-2.17%, +4.51%]

Hit-rate

62%

Top 5-day features

volume_acceleration_5d(negative)

importance 1.49

month_of_year(positive)

importance 1.18

broke_50d_low=false(positive)

importance 1.15

Historical playbook

300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.

Outcome modes

300 analogs · 3 clusters · 5-day return

Smooth uptrend

middle 50%: +0.7% to +5.1%

49 setups

+2.5%

80% up

Smooth sideways

middle 50%: -1.9% to +2.2%

95 setups

+0.2%

55% up

Smooth downtrend

middle 50%: -3.2% to +1.6%

42 setups

-0.3%

43% up

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How to read this

Consensus 0.52 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-4.64%, +5.23%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.

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