Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
VST
267 historical chart-shape analogs of VST as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.22
weak
5d median
-0.53%
hit-rate 49%
5d IQR
[-4.56%, +5.34%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-8.95%, +12.38%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+0.82%
IQR
[-5.18%, +8.97%]
Hit-rate
56%
Top 5-day features
broke_ath=false(negative)
importance 1.24
vix(positive)
importance 0.97
yield_curve_state=inverted(positive)
importance 0.86
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Uptrend (15% of pool)
middle 50%: -0.3% to +12.3%
+5.0%
73% up
Smooth sideways (+0.6%) (37% of pool)
middle 50%: -3.0% to +6.5%
+0.6%
57% up
Smooth sideways (-1.4%) (32% of pool)
middle 50%: -5.0% to +2.7%
-1.4%
39% up
Downtrend (12% of pool)
middle 50%: -11.2% to -1.3%
-4.0%
20% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.22 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into VST.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open VST in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:33:07.341264+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (5276ms retrieval at build time).