Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-14
VST
282 historical chart-shape analogs of VST as of 2026-08-14, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.23
weak
5d median
+0.59%
hit-rate 54%
5d IQR
[-4.00%, +4.53%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-7.04%, +10.02%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+0.07%
IQR
[-8.08%, +7.12%]
Hit-rate
51%
Top 5-day features
vix(negative)
importance 0.92
sector_rs_60d(negative)
importance 0.90
yield_curve_state=flat(negative)
importance 0.83
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Sharp choppy uptrend (3% of pool)
middle 50%: +6.4% to +18.6%
+13.5%
100% up
Smooth uptrend (33% of pool)
middle 50%: -1.1% to +7.6%
+2.1%
68% up
Smooth sideways (46% of pool)
middle 50%: -4.5% to +3.2%
-0.4%
45% up
Downtrend (14% of pool)
middle 50%: -7.0% to +3.1%
-3.0%
37% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.23 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into VST.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open VST in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
C
consensus 0.68 · 5d +0.49%
GILD
consensus 0.67 · 5d +0.79%
XOM
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.80%
CVX
consensus 0.62 · 5d +0.64%
BAC
consensus 0.60 · 5d +0.40%
JPM
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.16%
PFE
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.71%
MCD
consensus 0.53 · 5d +1.38%
DIS
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.03%
ASML
consensus 0.50 · 5d -0.81%
GS
consensus 0.50 · 5d +0.29%
PDD
consensus 0.50 · 5d +0.26%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-15T04:32:34.158612+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (5058ms retrieval at build time).