Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-17
TTD
285 historical chart-shape analogs of TTD as of 2026-08-17, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.00
weak
5d median
+1.33%
hit-rate 55%
5d IQR
[-5.81%, +6.52%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-12.04%, +11.82%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+1.82%
IQR
[-5.38%, +10.27%]
Hit-rate
55%
Top 5-day features
credit_spread_state=normal(negative)
importance 1.71
momentum_20d(negative)
importance 1.19
relative_volume(positive)
importance 1.06
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Uptrend (18% of pool)
middle 50%: +0.9% to +10.0%
+5.7%
75% up
Smooth sideways (54% of pool)
middle 50%: -4.5% to +5.3%
+0.3%
52% up
Downtrend (22% of pool)
middle 50%: -9.8% to +4.0%
-0.7%
49% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.00 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into TTD.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open TTD in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
GILD
consensus 0.68 · 5d +0.85%
XOM
consensus 0.67 · 5d +0.83%
C
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.35%
BAC
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.27%
JPM
consensus 0.63 · 5d +0.62%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d +0.64%
PFE
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.64%
ASML
consensus 0.53 · 5d -0.68%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +1.30%
GS
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.19%
LLY
consensus 0.51 · 5d +0.15%
AVGO
consensus 0.50 · 5d -0.15%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-18T04:35:01.317502+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (5400ms retrieval at build time).