Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
TTD
284 historical chart-shape analogs of TTD as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.00
weak
5d median
+1.19%
hit-rate 55%
5d IQR
[-4.59%, +7.43%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-9.85%, +19.66%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+1.94%
IQR
[-4.43%, +12.01%]
Hit-rate
58%
Top 5-day features
momentum_20d(negative)
importance 1.52
credit_spread_state=normal(negative)
importance 1.42
vix_term_structure(negative)
importance 1.13
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Uptrend (20% of pool)
middle 50%: +1.1% to +17.9%
+6.3%
75% up
Sideways (54% of pool)
middle 50%: -3.6% to +5.1%
+0.1%
50% up
Downtrend (21% of pool)
middle 50%: -8.2% to +5.7%
-0.2%
49% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.00 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into TTD.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open TTD in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:34:37.977929+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (5246ms retrieval at build time).