Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-17
SNOW
283 historical chart-shape analogs of SNOW as of 2026-08-17, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.22
weak
5d median
+0.95%
hit-rate 56%
5d IQR
[-2.55%, +4.59%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-6.88%, +9.24%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+0.94%
IQR
[-4.20%, +7.78%]
Hit-rate
55%
Top 5-day features
sector_rs_60d(positive)
importance 1.74
broke_20d_range_low=false(positive)
importance 0.95
vix_term_structure(negative)
importance 0.94
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Uptrend (19% of pool)
middle 50%: -0.0% to +9.6%
+4.4%
74% up
Smooth sideways (50% of pool)
middle 50%: -1.8% to +4.0%
+1.0%
58% up
Downtrend (27% of pool)
middle 50%: -6.4% to +2.2%
-1.2%
42% up
Was this useful?
How to read this
Consensus 0.22 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into SNOW.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open SNOW in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
GILD
consensus 0.68 · 5d +0.85%
XOM
consensus 0.67 · 5d +0.83%
C
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.35%
BAC
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.27%
JPM
consensus 0.63 · 5d +0.62%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d +0.64%
PFE
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.64%
ASML
consensus 0.53 · 5d -0.68%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +1.30%
GS
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.19%
LLY
consensus 0.51 · 5d +0.15%
AVGO
consensus 0.50 · 5d -0.15%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-18T04:32:01.110560+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (6670ms retrieval at build time).