Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
SNOW
279 historical chart-shape analogs of SNOW as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.25
weak
5d median
+1.03%
hit-rate 57%
5d IQR
[-3.65%, +4.61%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-9.03%, +9.55%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+0.41%
IQR
[-5.87%, +6.12%]
Hit-rate
52%
Top 5-day features
pct_off_52w_low(positive)
importance 0.81
vix(negative)
importance 0.81
spy_ret_20d(negative)
importance 0.75
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Sharp choppy uptrend (2% of pool)
middle 50%: +3.4% to +19.7%
+8.7%
86% up
Smooth uptrend (30% of pool)
middle 50%: -1.1% to +8.2%
+3.3%
70% up
Smooth sideways (51% of pool)
middle 50%: -4.1% to +4.0%
+0.6%
54% up
Downtrend (13% of pool)
middle 50%: -10.0% to +0.9%
-2.8%
35% up
Was this useful?
How to read this
Consensus 0.25 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into SNOW.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open SNOW in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:31:42.113484+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (5750ms retrieval at build time).