Cohort snapshot · 2026-05-07

SNOW

238 historical chart-shape analogs of SNOW as of 2026-05-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.38

moderate

5d median

-0.70%

hit-rate 43%

5d IQR

[-4.17%, +2.85%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-7.19%, +7.56%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

-2.45%

IQR

[-6.36%, +6.10%]

Hit-rate

43%

Top 5-day features

opex_week=false(positive)

importance 1.24

credit_spread_state=tight(negative)

importance 1.13

pct_off_ath(negative)

importance 1.04

How to read this

Consensus 0.38 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-7.19%, +7.56%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.

Live cohort

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