Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
SBUX
277 historical chart-shape analogs of SBUX as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.30
weak
5d median
+0.18%
hit-rate 51%
5d IQR
[-3.02%, +3.19%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-6.70%, +7.04%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+0.22%
IQR
[-4.26%, +4.80%]
Hit-rate
52%
Top 5-day features
broke_50d_low=false(negative)
importance 1.20
yield_curve_state=inverted(positive)
importance 1.12
month_of_year(negative)
importance 0.87
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Uptrend (10% of pool)
middle 50%: +1.4% to +8.2%
+4.1%
79% up
Smooth sideways (+1.8%) (33% of pool)
middle 50%: -0.8% to +4.0%
+1.8%
68% up
Smooth sideways (-1.2%) (42% of pool)
middle 50%: -3.5% to +1.2%
-1.2%
40% up
Smooth downtrend (11% of pool)
middle 50%: -6.4% to -0.7%
-3.7%
18% up
Was this useful?
How to read this
Consensus 0.30 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into SBUX.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open SBUX in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:31:59.289459+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (6904ms retrieval at build time).