Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-17
SBUX
274 historical chart-shape analogs of SBUX as of 2026-08-17, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.47
moderate
5d median
+0.32%
hit-rate 54%
5d IQR
[-3.17%, +2.90%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-6.58%, +6.82%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+0.47%
IQR
[-3.99%, +4.63%]
Hit-rate
54%
Top 5-day features
volume_acceleration_5d(positive)
importance 0.95
broke_20d_range_low=false(negative)
importance 0.86
news_count_today(positive)
importance 0.80
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Uptrend (9% of pool)
middle 50%: -3.0% to +7.3%
+2.5%
63% up
Smooth sideways (+1.5%) (35% of pool)
middle 50%: -0.7% to +4.0%
+1.5%
72% up
Smooth sideways (-1.2%) (38% of pool)
middle 50%: -4.1% to +1.3%
-1.2%
41% up
Downtrend (10% of pool)
middle 50%: -6.7% to +1.1%
-2.0%
34% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.47 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-6.58%, +6.82%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open SBUX in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
GILD
consensus 0.68 · 5d +0.85%
XOM
consensus 0.67 · 5d +0.83%
C
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.35%
BAC
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.27%
JPM
consensus 0.63 · 5d +0.62%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d +0.64%
PFE
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.64%
ASML
consensus 0.53 · 5d -0.68%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +1.30%
GS
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.19%
LLY
consensus 0.51 · 5d +0.15%
AVGO
consensus 0.50 · 5d -0.15%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-18T04:32:18.018029+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (6826ms retrieval at build time).