Cohort snapshot · 2026-09-18

QCOM

284 historical chart-shape analogs of QCOM as of 2026-09-18, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.00

weak

5d median

-0.64%

hit-rate 47%

5d IQR

[-5.14%, +4.29%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-11.29%, +9.55%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

-1.26%

IQR

[-7.82%, +5.56%]

Hit-rate

43%

Top 5-day features

relative_volume(positive)

importance 1.52

has_news=false(positive)

importance 1.16

qqq_minus_spy_60d(negative)

importance 0.94

Historical playbook

300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.

Outcome modes

300 analogs · 3 clusters · 5-day return

Uptrend

middle 50%: -1.8% to +9.3%

43 setups

+5.7%

70% up

Smooth sideways

middle 50%: -4.4% to +3.2%

196 setups

-0.5%

47% up

Downtrend

middle 50%: -11.8% to -0.5%

47 setups

-5.5%

26% up

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How to read this

Consensus 0.00 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into QCOM.

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