Cohort snapshot · 2026-06-19

QCOM

258 historical chart-shape analogs of QCOM as of 2026-06-19, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.00

weak

5d median

-1.96%

hit-rate 42%

5d IQR

[-9.61%, +4.41%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-16.39%, +11.78%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

-7.82%

IQR

[-17.94%, +5.69%]

Hit-rate

33%

Top 5-day features

pct_off_ath(negative)

importance 0.92

yield_curve_state=inverted(negative)

importance 0.88

range_compression_z(positive)

importance 0.86

Historical playbook

300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.

Outcome modes

300 analogs · 3 clusters · 5-day return

Uptrend

middle 50%: -6.2% to +10.4%

10 setups

+7.7%

57% up

Smooth sideways

middle 50%: -3.0% to +4.6%

58 setups

+0.5%

59% up

Downtrend

middle 50%: -8.8% to +0.7%

50 setups

-5.1%

29% up

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How to read this

Consensus 0.00 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into QCOM.

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