Cohort snapshot · 2026-05-07

PDD

279 historical chart-shape analogs of PDD as of 2026-05-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.15

weak

5d median

-1.64%

hit-rate 37%

5d IQR

[-5.73%, +1.90%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-9.38%, +6.99%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

-3.37%

IQR

[-7.40%, +3.15%]

Hit-rate

35%

Top 5-day features

has_news=__missing__(negative)

importance 1.75

has_news=false(positive)

importance 1.09

sector_etf=XLU(positive)

importance 0.81

How to read this

Consensus 0.15 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into PDD.

Live cohort

This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-anchor feature attribution:

Open PDD in Chart Library →