Cohort snapshot · 2026-05-07

NKE

278 historical chart-shape analogs of NKE as of 2026-05-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.16

weak

5d median

-0.51%

hit-rate 47%

5d IQR

[-7.40%, +5.12%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-11.69%, +8.92%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

-1.70%

IQR

[-10.52%, +5.81%]

Hit-rate

44%

Top 5-day features

yield_curve_state=inverted(positive)

importance 1.08

hy_oas(positive)

importance 1.02

sector_etf=XLU(positive)

importance 0.98

How to read this

Consensus 0.16 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into NKE.

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