Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-17
NKE
279 historical chart-shape analogs of NKE as of 2026-08-17, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.34
moderate
5d median
+0.14%
hit-rate 51%
5d IQR
[-2.30%, +3.45%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-8.08%, +10.26%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
-0.16%
IQR
[-4.45%, +3.72%]
Hit-rate
48%
Top 5-day features
broke_50d_low=false(positive)
importance 0.94
broke_20d_range_low=false(positive)
importance 0.89
range_expansion_z(negative)
importance 0.74
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Uptrend (8% of pool)
middle 50%: +0.9% to +14.9%
+8.5%
75% up
Smooth sideways (61% of pool)
middle 50%: -1.8% to +3.1%
+0.6%
55% up
Smooth downtrend (23% of pool)
middle 50%: -5.0% to +2.4%
-1.6%
35% up
Choppy downtrend (2% of pool)
middle 50%: -8.0% to +0.2%
-5.1%
33% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.34 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-8.08%, +10.26%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open NKE in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
GILD
consensus 0.68 · 5d +0.85%
XOM
consensus 0.67 · 5d +0.83%
C
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.35%
BAC
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.27%
JPM
consensus 0.63 · 5d +0.62%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d +0.64%
PFE
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.64%
ASML
consensus 0.53 · 5d -0.68%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +1.30%
GS
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.19%
LLY
consensus 0.51 · 5d +0.15%
AVGO
consensus 0.50 · 5d -0.15%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-18T04:32:22.995567+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (4618ms retrieval at build time).