Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
MDB
265 historical chart-shape analogs of MDB as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.09
weak
5d median
+1.41%
hit-rate 56%
5d IQR
[-3.85%, +5.60%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-10.42%, +10.00%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+0.14%
IQR
[-8.39%, +7.00%]
Hit-rate
51%
Top 5-day features
hy_oas(positive)
importance 1.57
spy_ret_60d(positive)
importance 1.40
yield_curve_state=flat(negative)
importance 1.30
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Uptrend (28% of pool)
middle 50%: -0.3% to +8.8%
+4.4%
71% up
Smooth sideways (51% of pool)
middle 50%: -3.3% to +5.3%
+1.4%
56% up
Downtrend (15% of pool)
middle 50%: -10.4% to +1.9%
-2.5%
33% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.09 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into MDB.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open MDB in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:31:36.011163+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (4770ms retrieval at build time).