Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
JPM
274 historical chart-shape analogs of JPM as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.53
moderate
5d median
+0.28%
hit-rate 53%
5d IQR
[-2.52%, +3.08%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-5.25%, +6.37%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+0.55%
IQR
[-3.76%, +4.04%]
Hit-rate
53%
Top 5-day features
opex_week=false(negative)
importance 1.09
realized_vol_20d(negative)
importance 1.02
spy_ret_60d(negative)
importance 0.93
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Smooth uptrend (12% of pool)
middle 50%: -0.1% to +6.3%
+3.2%
73% up
Smooth sideways (+0.4%) (59% of pool)
middle 50%: -1.9% to +2.6%
+0.4%
56% up
Smooth sideways (-1.9%) (23% of pool)
middle 50%: -4.6% to +2.0%
-1.9%
33% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.53 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-5.25%, +6.37%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open JPM in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
GILD
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.82%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:32:22.788225+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (3280ms retrieval at build time).