Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-17
INTC
215 historical chart-shape analogs of INTC as of 2026-08-17, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.19
weak
5d median
-0.55%
hit-rate 46%
5d IQR
[-5.92%, +2.31%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-14.04%, +7.73%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
-2.52%
IQR
[-7.65%, +1.98%]
Hit-rate
36%
Top 5-day features
qqq_minus_spy_60d(negative)
importance 1.44
momentum_5d(negative)
importance 1.05
pct_off_ath(positive)
importance 1.00
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Sharp uptrend (2% of pool)
middle 50%: +12.4% to +19.4%
+13.8%
83% up
Uptrend (16% of pool)
middle 50%: +0.3% to +7.9%
+3.8%
76% up
Smooth sideways (55% of pool)
middle 50%: -4.1% to +2.1%
+0.0%
50% up
Downtrend (20% of pool)
middle 50%: -14.0% to -2.1%
-6.7%
16% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.19 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into INTC.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open INTC in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
GILD
consensus 0.68 · 5d +0.85%
XOM
consensus 0.67 · 5d +0.83%
C
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.35%
BAC
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.27%
JPM
consensus 0.63 · 5d +0.62%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d +0.64%
PFE
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.64%
ASML
consensus 0.53 · 5d -0.68%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +1.30%
GS
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.19%
LLY
consensus 0.51 · 5d +0.15%
AVGO
consensus 0.50 · 5d -0.15%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-18T04:31:21.438196+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (5794ms retrieval at build time).