Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-17
GOOGL
232 historical chart-shape analogs of GOOGL as of 2026-08-17, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.23
weak
5d median
-0.44%
hit-rate 47%
5d IQR
[-5.05%, +2.78%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-11.21%, +7.25%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
-2.54%
IQR
[-8.43%, +2.99%]
Hit-rate
37%
Top 5-day features
yield_curve_state=flat(negative)
importance 1.01
qqq_minus_spy_60d(negative)
importance 0.90
macro_state=bullish(negative)
importance 0.73
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Uptrend (12% of pool)
middle 50%: +0.2% to +7.5%
+4.0%
73% up
Smooth sideways (52% of pool)
middle 50%: -3.3% to +3.1%
+0.5%
53% up
Downtrend (25% of pool)
middle 50%: -9.4% to +0.3%
-4.7%
28% up
Sharp downtrend (4% of pool)
middle 50%: -15.8% to -3.4%
-7.6%
18% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.23 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into GOOGL.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open GOOGL in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
GILD
consensus 0.68 · 5d +0.85%
XOM
consensus 0.67 · 5d +0.83%
C
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.35%
BAC
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.27%
JPM
consensus 0.63 · 5d +0.62%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d +0.64%
PFE
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.64%
ASML
consensus 0.53 · 5d -0.68%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +1.30%
GS
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.19%
LLY
consensus 0.51 · 5d +0.15%
AVGO
consensus 0.50 · 5d -0.15%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-18T04:30:38.434982+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (6155ms retrieval at build time).