Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
GOOGL
265 historical chart-shape analogs of GOOGL as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.28
weak
5d median
-0.53%
hit-rate 47%
5d IQR
[-4.29%, +2.84%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-7.67%, +7.97%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
-2.47%
IQR
[-6.73%, +4.85%]
Hit-rate
41%
Top 5-day features
hy_oas(positive)
importance 1.51
spy_ret_20d(positive)
importance 1.17
vix_term_structure(negative)
importance 1.14
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Smooth uptrend (22% of pool)
middle 50%: -2.6% to +6.6%
+2.1%
60% up
Smooth sideways (66% of pool)
middle 50%: -4.3% to +2.3%
-0.8%
44% up
Downtrend (6% of pool)
middle 50%: -9.7% to +1.0%
-7.5%
28% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.28 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into GOOGL.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open GOOGL in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:30:27.500953+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (4744ms retrieval at build time).