Cohort snapshot · 2026-09-18

ENB

286 historical chart-shape analogs of ENB as of 2026-09-18, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.29

weak

5d median

+1.02%

hit-rate 57%

5d IQR

[-2.88%, +4.71%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-6.27%, +9.89%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

+1.78%

IQR

[-3.67%, +7.29%]

Hit-rate

58%

Top 5-day features

spy_ret_20d(negative)

importance 1.43

sector_rs_60d(negative)

importance 1.18

spy_ret_60d(positive)

importance 1.14

Historical playbook

300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.

Outcome modes

300 analogs · 4 clusters · 5-day return

Smooth uptrend

middle 50%: -0.9% to +7.5%

39 setups

+4.7%

72% up

Smooth sideways (+1.8%)

middle 50%: -1.4% to +4.8%

132 setups

+1.8%

63% up

Downtrend

middle 50%: -6.2% to +2.4%

24 setups

-0.2%

50% up

Smooth sideways (-1.1%)

middle 50%: -4.3% to +2.2%

94 setups

-1.1%

45% up

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How to read this

Consensus 0.29 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into ENB.

Live comp set

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