Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-17
DKNG
270 historical chart-shape analogs of DKNG as of 2026-08-17, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.23
weak
5d median
+0.09%
hit-rate 50%
5d IQR
[-4.61%, +3.97%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-10.36%, +8.91%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
-0.08%
IQR
[-4.87%, +5.77%]
Hit-rate
49%
Top 5-day features
realized_vol_20d(negative)
importance 1.45
momentum_20d(negative)
importance 1.12
yield_curve_state=inverted(negative)
importance 1.11
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Sharp choppy uptrend (3% of pool)
middle 50%: +8.0% to +12.7%
+10.3%
86% up
Smooth uptrend (28% of pool)
middle 50%: -2.1% to +5.9%
+2.1%
68% up
Smooth sideways (44% of pool)
middle 50%: -4.4% to +2.2%
-0.7%
45% up
Downtrend (20% of pool)
middle 50%: -9.9% to +2.2%
-4.2%
32% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.23 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into DKNG.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open DKNG in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
GILD
consensus 0.68 · 5d +0.85%
XOM
consensus 0.67 · 5d +0.83%
C
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.35%
BAC
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.27%
JPM
consensus 0.63 · 5d +0.62%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d +0.64%
PFE
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.64%
ASML
consensus 0.53 · 5d -0.68%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +1.30%
GS
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.19%
LLY
consensus 0.51 · 5d +0.15%
AVGO
consensus 0.50 · 5d -0.15%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-18T04:34:55.562361+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (5867ms retrieval at build time).