Cohort snapshot · 2026-09-18

DKNG

286 historical chart-shape analogs of DKNG as of 2026-09-18, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.42

moderate

5d median

-0.15%

hit-rate 48%

5d IQR

[-3.01%, +2.76%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-6.24%, +5.99%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

+0.99%

IQR

[-3.42%, +3.76%]

Hit-rate

56%

Top 5-day features

news_count_anomaly(positive)

importance 1.14

sector_rs_60d(positive)

importance 1.05

momentum_20d(negative)

importance 1.05

Historical playbook

300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.

Outcome modes

300 analogs · 4 clusters · 5-day return

Sharp uptrend

middle 50%: -4.4% to +14.2%

9 setups

+5.2%

67% up

Smooth uptrend

middle 50%: -0.3% to +6.0%

53 setups

+1.7%

68% up

Smooth sideways

middle 50%: -1.9% to +2.5%

153 setups

+0.1%

50% up

Smooth downtrend

middle 50%: -5.3% to +0.2%

71 setups

-3.0%

27% up

Was this useful?

How to read this

Consensus 0.42 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-6.24%, +5.99%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.

Live comp set

This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:

Open DKNG in Chart Library →