Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
DKNG
275 historical chart-shape analogs of DKNG as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.17
weak
5d median
+0.25%
hit-rate 52%
5d IQR
[-5.33%, +3.77%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-11.35%, +8.81%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
-0.56%
IQR
[-5.01%, +6.09%]
Hit-rate
48%
Top 5-day features
yield_curve_state=inverted(negative)
importance 1.40
credit_spread_state=tight(positive)
importance 1.20
rs_in_sector_rank(positive)
importance 1.13
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Uptrend (12% of pool)
middle 50%: +0.4% to +9.7%
+4.9%
77% up
Smooth sideways (62% of pool)
middle 50%: -3.7% to +3.8%
+0.7%
55% up
Downtrend (21% of pool)
middle 50%: -11.5% to +0.8%
-4.8%
30% up
Sharp choppy downtrend (1% of pool)
middle 50%: -19.5% to -2.2%
-10.9%
50% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.17 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into DKNG.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open DKNG in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:34:32.380385+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (4781ms retrieval at build time).