Cohort snapshot · 2026-06-19

DDOG

257 historical chart-shape analogs of DDOG as of 2026-06-19, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.35

moderate

5d median

-1.28%

hit-rate 42%

5d IQR

[-4.86%, +4.66%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-7.13%, +8.81%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

-2.08%

IQR

[-7.02%, +4.42%]

Hit-rate

40%

Top 5-day features

credit_spread_state=normal(negative)

importance 0.93

sector_rs_60d(positive)

importance 0.77

opex_week=false(positive)

importance 0.72

Historical playbook

300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.

Outcome modes

300 analogs · 4 clusters · 5-day return

Smooth uptrend

middle 50%: -2.2% to +6.1%

68 setups

+2.6%

59% up

Uptrend

middle 50%: -1.5% to +8.3%

20 setups

+2.3%

67% up

Smooth sideways

middle 50%: -4.5% to +3.6%

117 setups

-1.4%

38% up

Downtrend

middle 50%: -6.1% to +0.8%

81 setups

-3.1%

29% up

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How to read this

Consensus 0.35 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-7.13%, +8.81%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.

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