Cohort snapshot · 2026-05-07

DDOG

289 historical chart-shape analogs of DDOG as of 2026-05-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.24

weak

5d median

-0.03%

hit-rate 50%

5d IQR

[-5.44%, +4.92%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-10.96%, +9.66%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

-0.25%

IQR

[-6.26%, +5.44%]

Hit-rate

49%

Top 5-day features

vol_regime=high(negative)

importance 1.60

spy_ret_60d(negative)

importance 1.34

sector_etf=XLP(negative)

importance 1.13

How to read this

Consensus 0.24 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into DDOG.

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