Cohort snapshot · 2026-05-07

CRWV

273 historical chart-shape analogs of CRWV as of 2026-05-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.55

moderate

5d median

+0.03%

hit-rate 50%

5d IQR

[-1.80%, +1.69%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-5.47%, +3.93%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

+0.16%

IQR

[-1.71%, +2.05%]

Hit-rate

52%

Top 5-day features

vol_regime=high(positive)

importance 1.51

momentum_20d(negative)

importance 1.13

yield_curve_state=inverted(negative)

importance 1.12

How to read this

Consensus 0.55 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-5.47%, +3.93%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.

Live cohort

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