Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
CEG
271 historical chart-shape analogs of CEG as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.40
moderate
5d median
+0.54%
hit-rate 56%
5d IQR
[-2.65%, +4.11%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-5.43%, +7.97%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+0.71%
IQR
[-3.27%, +5.95%]
Hit-rate
56%
Top 5-day features
qqq_minus_spy_60d(positive)
importance 1.43
yield_curve(positive)
importance 1.27
days_since_ath(negative)
importance 1.16
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Uptrend (3% of pool)
middle 50%: +3.5% to +13.9%
+8.2%
100% up
Smooth sideways (+1.8%) (48% of pool)
middle 50%: -0.4% to +5.6%
+1.8%
71% up
Smooth sideways (-1.5%) (40% of pool)
middle 50%: -4.0% to +1.4%
-1.5%
36% up
Downtrend (3% of pool)
middle 50%: -11.3% to +0.2%
-4.7%
30% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.40 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-5.43%, +7.97%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open CEG in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:33:12.570313+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (4876ms retrieval at build time).