Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-17
CEG
263 historical chart-shape analogs of CEG as of 2026-08-17, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.45
moderate
5d median
+0.45%
hit-rate 54%
5d IQR
[-2.66%, +4.44%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-6.14%, +7.91%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+0.53%
IQR
[-4.08%, +7.00%]
Hit-rate
51%
Top 5-day features
hy_oas(positive)
importance 0.86
broke_50d_high=false(negative)
importance 0.86
has_news=false(positive)
importance 0.78
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Smooth uptrend (13% of pool)
middle 50%: +0.5% to +6.7%
+2.4%
81% up
Smooth sideways (+1.5%) (37% of pool)
middle 50%: -1.3% to +5.8%
+1.5%
61% up
Smooth sideways (-0.5%) (35% of pool)
middle 50%: -2.9% to +2.7%
-0.5%
43% up
Downtrend (10% of pool)
middle 50%: -6.2% to +0.2%
-4.3%
30% up
Was this useful?
How to read this
Consensus 0.45 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-6.14%, +7.91%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open CEG in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
GILD
consensus 0.68 · 5d +0.85%
XOM
consensus 0.67 · 5d +0.83%
C
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.35%
BAC
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.27%
JPM
consensus 0.63 · 5d +0.62%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d +0.64%
PFE
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.64%
ASML
consensus 0.53 · 5d -0.68%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +1.30%
GS
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.19%
LLY
consensus 0.51 · 5d +0.15%
AVGO
consensus 0.50 · 5d -0.15%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-18T04:33:35.301750+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (5120ms retrieval at build time).