Cohort snapshot · 2026-09-18

CEG

277 historical chart-shape analogs of CEG as of 2026-09-18, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.42

moderate

5d median

-0.32%

hit-rate 48%

5d IQR

[-3.57%, +3.16%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-7.46%, +6.62%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

+0.78%

IQR

[-4.09%, +4.86%]

Hit-rate

54%

Top 5-day features

sector_rs_60d(negative)

importance 1.23

vix(positive)

importance 1.01

range_compression_z(negative)

importance 0.87

Historical playbook

300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.

Outcome modes

300 analogs · 4 clusters · 5-day return

Uptrend

middle 50%: -1.9% to +5.2%

42 setups

+3.4%

60% up

Smooth sideways (+0.5%)

middle 50%: -1.8% to +3.6%

141 setups

+0.5%

55% up

Smooth sideways (-1.4%)

middle 50%: -4.8% to +1.6%

79 setups

-1.4%

38% up

Downtrend

middle 50%: -9.4% to -1.9%

27 setups

-7.0%

19% up

Was this useful?

How to read this

Consensus 0.42 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-7.46%, +6.62%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.

Live comp set

This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:

Open CEG in Chart Library →