Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
BKNG
289 historical chart-shape analogs of BKNG as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.45
moderate
5d median
+0.69%
hit-rate 55%
5d IQR
[-2.12%, +4.25%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-5.38%, +7.65%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+1.46%
IQR
[-3.00%, +6.17%]
Hit-rate
60%
Top 5-day features
sector_rs_60d(positive)
importance 1.30
momentum_60d(negative)
importance 1.13
market_rs_60d(negative)
importance 1.09
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Smooth uptrend (16% of pool)
middle 50%: -0.9% to +6.5%
+4.1%
66% up
Smooth sideways (+1.3%) (44% of pool)
middle 50%: -2.2% to +4.1%
+1.3%
60% up
Smooth sideways (-0.1%) (29% of pool)
middle 50%: -2.0% to +2.8%
-0.1%
48% up
Downtrend (8% of pool)
middle 50%: -7.2% to +1.3%
-3.8%
33% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.45 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-5.38%, +7.65%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open BKNG in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:32:19.154181+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (3066ms retrieval at build time).