Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-17
BKNG
264 historical chart-shape analogs of BKNG as of 2026-08-17, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.28
weak
5d median
+1.81%
hit-rate 59%
5d IQR
[-3.06%, +5.42%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-6.81%, +9.51%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+3.46%
IQR
[-3.11%, +10.41%]
Hit-rate
61%
Top 5-day features
vol_regime=high(positive)
importance 1.46
opex_week=false(positive)
importance 1.11
broke_50d_low=false(negative)
importance 1.05
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Smooth uptrend (8% of pool)
middle 50%: +3.2% to +9.2%
+7.1%
80% up
Smooth sideways (+3.4%) (30% of pool)
middle 50%: -0.2% to +6.1%
+3.4%
74% up
Smooth sideways (+0.5%) (40% of pool)
middle 50%: -3.9% to +4.3%
+0.5%
52% up
Downtrend (10% of pool)
middle 50%: -9.3% to -0.6%
-4.5%
23% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.28 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into BKNG.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open BKNG in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
GILD
consensus 0.68 · 5d +0.85%
XOM
consensus 0.67 · 5d +0.83%
C
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.35%
BAC
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.27%
JPM
consensus 0.63 · 5d +0.62%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d +0.64%
PFE
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.64%
ASML
consensus 0.53 · 5d -0.68%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +1.30%
GS
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.19%
LLY
consensus 0.51 · 5d +0.15%
AVGO
consensus 0.50 · 5d -0.15%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-18T04:32:37.738168+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (1953ms retrieval at build time).