Cohort snapshot · 2026-06-19

AVGO

272 historical chart-shape analogs of AVGO as of 2026-06-19, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.31

moderate

5d median

+0.76%

hit-rate 57%

5d IQR

[-3.20%, +3.53%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-8.37%, +8.03%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

+0.76%

IQR

[-4.55%, +5.27%]

Hit-rate

54%

Top 5-day features

has_news=false(positive)

importance 1.10

momentum_20d(negative)

importance 1.09

volume_acceleration_5d(positive)

importance 1.08

Historical playbook

300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.

Outcome modes

300 analogs · 3 clusters · 5-day return

Uptrend

middle 50%: -0.8% to +9.4%

45 setups

+4.1%

71% up

Smooth sideways

middle 50%: -2.2% to +2.7%

180 setups

+0.8%

61% up

Downtrend

middle 50%: -8.0% to +2.4%

62 setups

-2.6%

38% up

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How to read this

Consensus 0.31 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-8.37%, +8.03%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.

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