Cohort snapshot · 2026-09-18

AVGO

278 historical chart-shape analogs of AVGO as of 2026-09-18, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.32

moderate

5d median

-0.77%

hit-rate 41%

5d IQR

[-4.16%, +2.60%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-7.98%, +7.19%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

-1.84%

IQR

[-5.31%, +2.91%]

Hit-rate

39%

Top 5-day features

momentum_5d(negative)

importance 0.90

hy_oas(positive)

importance 0.82

yield_curve_state=flat(negative)

importance 0.81

Historical playbook

300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.

Outcome modes

300 analogs · 4 clusters · 5-day return

Uptrend

middle 50%: -3.7% to +5.4%

74 setups

+0.3%

51% up

Smooth sideways

middle 50%: -2.8% to +2.2%

148 setups

-0.4%

44% up

Downtrend (-3.4%)

middle 50%: -6.8% to -0.4%

52 setups

-3.4%

24% up

Downtrend (-6.6%)

middle 50%: -8.6% to -3.9%

12 setups

-6.6%

9% up

Was this useful?

How to read this

Consensus 0.32 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-7.98%, +7.19%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.

Live comp set

This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:

Open AVGO in Chart Library →