Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
AMZN
273 historical chart-shape analogs of AMZN as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.00
weak
5d median
+0.69%
hit-rate 57%
5d IQR
[-3.56%, +4.57%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-8.37%, +7.51%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
-0.46%
IQR
[-6.97%, +5.29%]
Hit-rate
47%
Top 5-day features
hy_oas(positive)
importance 1.49
momentum_20d(negative)
importance 1.41
macro_state=bullish(positive)
importance 1.05
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Uptrend (5% of pool)
middle 50%: +3.9% to +9.7%
+7.9%
80% up
Smooth sideways (+2.1%) (25% of pool)
middle 50%: -2.7% to +5.4%
+2.1%
66% up
Smooth sideways (+0.5%) (50% of pool)
middle 50%: -2.8% to +3.9%
+0.5%
54% up
Downtrend (14% of pool)
middle 50%: -8.6% to +1.7%
-2.7%
44% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.00 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into AMZN.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open AMZN in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:30:38.020537+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (5181ms retrieval at build time).