Cohort snapshot · 2026-05-07

AMD

60 historical chart-shape analogs of AMD as of 2026-05-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.00

weak

5d median

-1.55%

hit-rate 43%

5d IQR

[-6.53%, +2.06%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-11.04%, +3.37%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

-2.72%

IQR

[-6.30%, +3.29%]

Hit-rate

38%

Top 5-day features

credit_spread_state=normal(negative)

importance 1.07

month_of_year(negative)

importance 0.81

vix(negative)

importance 0.81

How to read this

Consensus 0.00 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into AMD.

Live cohort

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