Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
AMD
230 historical chart-shape analogs of AMD as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.00
weak
5d median
-1.23%
hit-rate 40%
5d IQR
[-7.85%, +4.48%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-16.50%, +14.77%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
-1.65%
IQR
[-6.72%, +4.30%]
Hit-rate
38%
Top 5-day features
momentum_5d(negative)
importance 1.34
vrp(positive)
importance 0.92
news_sentiment_30d_avg(negative)
importance 0.86
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Sharp choppy uptrend (8% of pool)
middle 50%: -1.2% to +26.9%
+20.9%
69% up
Sideways (+0.7%) (32% of pool)
middle 50%: -4.6% to +5.4%
+0.7%
52% up
Sideways (-1.7%) (39% of pool)
middle 50%: -9.1% to +1.7%
-1.7%
33% up
Downtrend (16% of pool)
middle 50%: -9.6% to +2.6%
-6.5%
30% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.00 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into AMD.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open AMD in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:30:50.972401+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (5404ms retrieval at build time).