Cohort snapshot · 2026-05-07

RKLB

230 historical chart-shape analogs of RKLB as of 2026-05-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.00

weak

5d median

-0.44%

hit-rate 48%

5d IQR

[-6.75%, +4.13%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-13.48%, +9.81%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

-1.61%

IQR

[-9.41%, +6.14%]

Hit-rate

45%

Top 5-day features

sector_etf=XLK(negative)

importance 1.22

credit_spread_state=tight(positive)

importance 1.20

opex_week=false(negative)

importance 0.91

How to read this

Consensus 0.00 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into RKLB.

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