Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-17
RKLB
224 historical chart-shape analogs of RKLB as of 2026-08-17, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.00
weak
5d median
-3.06%
hit-rate 38%
5d IQR
[-8.80%, +4.09%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-16.03%, +13.84%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
-4.97%
IQR
[-16.62%, +4.58%]
Hit-rate
36%
Top 5-day features
qqq_minus_spy_60d(negative)
importance 0.98
relative_volume(positive)
importance 0.80
news_count_5d(positive)
importance 0.73
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Sharp choppy uptrend (11% of pool)
middle 50%: -4.7% to +15.9%
+6.2%
71% up
Uptrend (29% of pool)
middle 50%: -5.6% to +5.6%
-0.6%
47% up
Downtrend (36% of pool)
middle 50%: -9.7% to -0.5%
-5.6%
22% up
Sharp choppy downtrend (8% of pool)
middle 50%: -18.5% to -3.7%
-9.5%
16% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.00 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into RKLB.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open RKLB in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
GILD
consensus 0.68 · 5d +0.85%
XOM
consensus 0.67 · 5d +0.83%
C
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.35%
BAC
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.27%
JPM
consensus 0.63 · 5d +0.62%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d +0.64%
PFE
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.64%
ASML
consensus 0.53 · 5d -0.68%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +1.30%
GS
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.19%
LLY
consensus 0.51 · 5d +0.15%
AVGO
consensus 0.50 · 5d -0.15%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-18T04:35:07.742248+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (6063ms retrieval at build time).