Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
RKLB
256 historical chart-shape analogs of RKLB as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.00
weak
5d median
-7.81%
hit-rate 27%
5d IQR
[-14.57%, +1.02%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-19.21%, +11.69%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
-15.29%
IQR
[-22.79%, -5.71%]
Hit-rate
17%
Top 5-day features
vrp(positive)
importance 1.35
news_count_today(positive)
importance 0.93
momentum_20d(negative)
importance 0.75
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Sharp choppy uptrend (19% of pool)
middle 50%: -4.5% to +8.4%
-0.3%
50% up
Sideways (-4.0%) (19% of pool)
middle 50%: -14.8% to +1.0%
-4.0%
30% up
Sharp choppy downtrend (19% of pool)
middle 50%: -17.8% to -2.6%
-9.7%
18% up
Sideways (-11.0%) (35% of pool)
middle 50%: -14.9% to -4.4%
-11.0%
21% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.00 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into RKLB.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open RKLB in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:34:43.277802+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (4955ms retrieval at build time).