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Rarity radar · refreshed daily

Rarity Radar

Stocks at a genuine statistical extreme versus their own 10-year history — most overbought, most oversold, most stretched from trend — and the empirical base rate of what followed prior visits to that extreme. A base rate, not a prediction.

MSFT-9%
20-day move · since Apr 2026 · next 15d +1.4%
META-10%
% from 200-day avg · since May 2026 · next 15d +8.9%
AMD+86%
% from 200-day avg · since May 2026 · next 15d -3.4%
AVGO-25%
20-day move · since Apr 2025 · next 15d +3.4%
MU+120%
% from 200-day avg · since May 2026 · next 15d +11.5%
INTC+100%
% from 200-day avg · since May 2026 · next 15d +5.1%
QCOM-30%
20-day move · since Mar 2020 · next 15d +2.8%
DELL+112%
% from 200-day avg · 10yr record · next 15d +5%
SMCI-43%
20-day move · since Nov 2024 · next 15d +6.3%
MSTR-44%
% from 200-day avg · since Apr 2026 · next 15d +3.2%
CRWD-61%
% from 200-day avg · 10yr record · next 15d +10.3%
PANW+73%
% from 200-day avg · 10yr record · next 15d +0.4%
DDOG+67%
% from 200-day avg · since Nov 2021 · next 15d -5.5%
MRNA86
RSI(14) · since Feb 2026 · next 15d +1.3%
BABA-24%
20-day move · since Apr 2025 · next 15d +7.4%
HOOD+36%
20-day move · since Oct 2025 · next 15d +9.9%
XOM-10%
20-day move · since Apr 2026 · next 15d +1.1%
F-15%
20-day move · since Mar 2026 · next 15d +2.3%
GE91
RSI(14) · since May 2025 · next 15d +3.5%
Related

See also Market Déjà Vu (each stock’s historical twin) and Cohort Snapshots (full analog distributions with calibrated bands).

19 extremes · last built 2026-07-04T12:31:37Z · Historical data only — not financial advice.