PANW is the most stretched above its 200-day average in over 10 years
PANW's % from 200-day avg is at +73% — stretched above its 200-day average, in the top 0% of its 10-year range. The last 13 times PANW reached this extreme, the median move over the next 15 trading days was +0.4% (62% finished higher).
This is a base rate from PANW's own history — what happened after prior visits to this extreme — not a prediction. 13 prior cases is a guide, not a guarantee. Extremes can persist far longer than they "should."
How Rarity Radar works
We measure PANW on several conditions (distance from its 200-day average, RSI, recent momentum) against its own 10-year history, then surface the single most extreme one and the empirical forward returns that followed prior visits to that extreme.
See PANW's full cohort of historical analogs and calibrated outcome distribution:
PANW cohort →Open in Chart Library