Rarity radar · 2026-06-22

NIO is the most oversold it has been since Dec 2025

NIO's rsi(14) is at 17 — oversold, in the top 3.9% of its 10-year range. The last 21 times NIO reached this extreme, the median move over the next 15 trading days was -4.5% (24% finished higher).

RSI(14)

top 3.9% in 10yr

Next 15d median

-4.5%

24% higher

Last seen

Dec 2025

Read this honestly

This is a base rate from NIO's own history — what happened after prior visits to this extreme — not a prediction. 21 prior cases is a guide, not a guarantee. Extremes can persist far longer than they "should."

How Rarity Radar works

We measure NIO on several conditions (distance from its 200-day average, RSI, recent momentum) against its own 10-year history, then surface the single most extreme one and the empirical forward returns that followed prior visits to that extreme.

Go deeper

See NIO's full cohort of historical analogs and calibrated outcome distribution:

NIO cohort →Open in Chart Library

Other extremes on the radar

MSFT

RSI(14) 9