Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
PLTR
282 historical chart-shape analogs of PLTR as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.38
moderate
5d median
+0.56%
hit-rate 56%
5d IQR
[-2.89%, +3.38%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-6.38%, +6.36%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
-0.78%
IQR
[-5.68%, +3.80%]
Hit-rate
47%
Top 5-day features
hy_oas(positive)
importance 1.47
broke_20d_range_low=false(negative)
importance 1.24
macro_state=bullish(negative)
importance 1.24
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Smooth uptrend (17% of pool)
middle 50%: -1.2% to +7.0%
+2.8%
69% up
Smooth sideways (56% of pool)
middle 50%: -1.9% to +3.2%
+0.8%
60% up
Downtrend (22% of pool)
middle 50%: -6.4% to +1.2%
-2.3%
38% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.38 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-6.38%, +6.36%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open PLTR in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:31:24.514733+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (9939ms retrieval at build time).