Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-17
PLTR
279 historical chart-shape analogs of PLTR as of 2026-08-17, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.18
weak
5d median
+1.13%
hit-rate 57%
5d IQR
[-2.57%, +4.28%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-7.28%, +10.50%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+0.68%
IQR
[-3.65%, +5.97%]
Hit-rate
55%
Top 5-day features
vix(positive)
importance 1.42
credit_spread_state=tight(negative)
importance 1.13
news_count_5d(negative)
importance 0.91
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Smooth uptrend (28% of pool)
middle 50%: -0.5% to +7.2%
+2.7%
72% up
Smooth sideways (61% of pool)
middle 50%: -2.7% to +3.3%
+0.2%
51% up
Downtrend (6% of pool)
middle 50%: -14.6% to +1.2%
-5.2%
44% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.18 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into PLTR.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open PLTR in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
GILD
consensus 0.68 · 5d +0.85%
XOM
consensus 0.67 · 5d +0.83%
C
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.35%
BAC
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.27%
JPM
consensus 0.63 · 5d +0.62%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d +0.64%
PFE
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.64%
ASML
consensus 0.53 · 5d -0.68%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +1.30%
GS
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.19%
LLY
consensus 0.51 · 5d +0.15%
AVGO
consensus 0.50 · 5d -0.15%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-18T04:31:40.454505+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (9965ms retrieval at build time).