Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
META
268 historical chart-shape analogs of META as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.27
weak
5d median
-0.89%
hit-rate 43%
5d IQR
[-5.23%, +2.63%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-11.17%, +7.68%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
-2.05%
IQR
[-8.26%, +2.88%]
Hit-rate
36%
Top 5-day features
has_news=false(positive)
importance 0.89
opex_week=false(positive)
importance 0.81
pct_off_ath(positive)
importance 0.76
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Uptrend (16% of pool)
middle 50%: -3.1% to +6.9%
+1.4%
60% up
Smooth sideways (44% of pool)
middle 50%: -3.4% to +3.0%
-0.1%
48% up
Downtrend (-3.5%) (27% of pool)
middle 50%: -9.2% to +0.4%
-3.5%
29% up
Downtrend (-7.8%) (7% of pool)
middle 50%: -14.2% to +1.9%
-7.8%
29% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.27 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into META.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open META in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:30:32.484356+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (4633ms retrieval at build time).