Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-17
META
249 historical chart-shape analogs of META as of 2026-08-17, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.00
weak
5d median
-0.97%
hit-rate 43%
5d IQR
[-6.85%, +5.03%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-12.48%, +13.80%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+0.22%
IQR
[-7.73%, +9.46%]
Hit-rate
51%
Top 5-day features
broke_20d_range_low=false(negative)
importance 1.36
pct_off_ath(negative)
importance 1.30
pct_off_52w_low(positive)
importance 1.12
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Sharp choppy uptrend (1% of pool)
middle 50%: +15.3% to +23.4%
+16.7%
100% up
Uptrend (17% of pool)
middle 50%: -2.8% to +11.7%
+5.0%
61% up
Smooth sideways (47% of pool)
middle 50%: -6.1% to +3.2%
-0.6%
42% up
Downtrend (30% of pool)
middle 50%: -9.6% to +1.4%
-4.1%
31% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.00 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into META.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open META in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
GILD
consensus 0.68 · 5d +0.85%
XOM
consensus 0.67 · 5d +0.83%
C
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.35%
BAC
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.27%
JPM
consensus 0.63 · 5d +0.62%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d +0.64%
PFE
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.64%
ASML
consensus 0.53 · 5d -0.68%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +1.30%
GS
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.19%
LLY
consensus 0.51 · 5d +0.15%
AVGO
consensus 0.50 · 5d -0.15%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-18T04:30:44.852682+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (6048ms retrieval at build time).