Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-14
GS
285 historical chart-shape analogs of GS as of 2026-08-14, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.50
moderate
5d median
+0.29%
hit-rate 53%
5d IQR
[-3.07%, +3.55%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-5.91%, +6.63%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
-0.55%
IQR
[-5.36%, +4.74%]
Hit-rate
47%
Top 5-day features
macro_state=bullish(negative)
importance 1.09
vix(positive)
importance 1.01
has_news=false(negative)
importance 0.97
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Smooth uptrend (29% of pool)
middle 50%: -0.5% to +5.1%
+1.5%
72% up
Smooth sideways (49% of pool)
middle 50%: -4.3% to +1.2%
-1.1%
36% up
Downtrend (5% of pool)
middle 50%: -6.4% to +0.0%
-3.2%
29% up
Was this useful?
How to read this
Consensus 0.50 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-5.91%, +6.63%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open GS in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
C
consensus 0.68 · 5d +0.49%
GILD
consensus 0.67 · 5d +0.79%
XOM
consensus 0.65 · 5d +0.80%
CVX
consensus 0.62 · 5d +0.64%
BAC
consensus 0.60 · 5d +0.40%
JPM
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.16%
PFE
consensus 0.56 · 5d +0.71%
MCD
consensus 0.53 · 5d +1.38%
DIS
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.03%
ASML
consensus 0.50 · 5d -0.81%
PDD
consensus 0.50 · 5d +0.26%
ENB
consensus 0.49 · 5d +1.24%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-15T04:32:00.122986+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (2907ms retrieval at build time).