Cohort snapshot · 2026-08-07
GS
264 historical chart-shape analogs of GS as of 2026-08-07, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.40
moderate
5d median
+0.19%
hit-rate 53%
5d IQR
[-3.20%, +3.35%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-6.52%, +6.66%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
+0.91%
IQR
[-4.47%, +5.59%]
Hit-rate
56%
Top 5-day features
yield_curve_state=normal(positive)
importance 0.97
sector_rs_60d(negative)
importance 0.95
broke_50d_high=false(negative)
importance 0.84
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Smooth uptrend (18% of pool)
middle 50%: -0.2% to +5.7%
+3.5%
74% up
Smooth sideways (48% of pool)
middle 50%: -2.8% to +2.9%
+0.5%
56% up
Smooth downtrend (22% of pool)
middle 50%: -5.8% to +0.6%
-1.5%
29% up
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How to read this
Consensus 0.40 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-6.52%, +6.66%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.
Live comp set
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-subject drivers:
Open GS in Chart Library →Other cohort snapshots
PFE
consensus 0.64 · 5d +0.77%
C
consensus 0.64 · 5d -0.21%
XOM
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.14%
CVX
consensus 0.61 · 5d -0.33%
BAC
consensus 0.57 · 5d +0.42%
DIS
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.15%
PDD
consensus 0.54 · 5d -0.13%
JPM
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.28%
MS
consensus 0.53 · 5d +0.66%
MCD
consensus 0.52 · 5d +0.70%
ABNB
consensus 0.51 · 5d -0.33%
LOW
consensus 0.48 · 5d +0.01%
Snapshot built at 2026-08-08T04:32:30.370919+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (7230ms retrieval at build time).