Chart Library
Rarity radar · 2026-07-23

TSLA is the most extended below its 200-day average since Apr 2025

TSLA's % from 200-day avg is at -23%far below its 200-day average, in the top 6.6% of its 10-year range. The last 14 times TSLA reached this extreme, the median move over the next 15 trading days was +1.1% (57% finished higher).

TSLA is the most extended below its 200-day average since Apr 2025
% from 200-day avg
-23%
top 6.6% in 10yr
Next 15d median
+1.1%
57% higher
Last seen
Apr 2025
Read this honestly

This is a base rate from TSLA's own history — what happened after prior visits to this extreme — not a prediction. 14 prior cases is a guide, not a guarantee. Extremes can persist far longer than they "should."

How Rarity Radar works

We measure TSLA on several conditions (distance from its 200-day average, RSI, recent momentum) against its own 10-year history, then surface the single most extreme one and the empirical forward returns that followed prior visits to that extreme.

Go deeper

See TSLA's full cohort of historical analogs and calibrated outcome distribution:

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Other extremes on the radar

MSFT
% from 200-day avg -13%
GOOGL
RSI(14) 30
AMD
% from 200-day avg +77%
NFLX
RSI(14) 20
MU
% from 200-day avg +99%
INTC
20-day move -24%
QCOM
20-day move -13%
DELL
% from 200-day avg +113%
MSTR
% from 200-day avg -43%
CRWD
% from 200-day avg -62%
PANW
% from 200-day avg +55%
MRNA
RSI(14) 18
Built 2026-07-24T12:31:26Z. Refreshed daily. Historical data only — not financial advice.