Rarity radar · 2026-06-17
HOOD just had its biggest 20-day run since Oct 2025
HOOD's 20-day move is at +42% — biggest 20-day run, in the top 3% of its 10-year range. The last 10 times HOOD reached this extreme, the median move over the next 15 trading days was +9.9% (70% finished higher).
20-day move
+42%
top 3% in 10yr
Next 15d median
+9.9%
70% higher
Last seen
Oct 2025
Read this honestly
This is a base rate from HOOD's own history — what happened after prior visits to this extreme — not a prediction. 10 prior cases is a guide, not a guarantee. Extremes can persist far longer than they "should."
How Rarity Radar works
We measure HOOD on several conditions (distance from its 200-day average, RSI, recent momentum) against its own 10-year history, then surface the single most extreme one and the empirical forward returns that followed prior visits to that extreme.
Go deeper
See HOOD's full cohort of historical analogs and calibrated outcome distribution:
HOOD cohort →Open in Chart LibraryOther extremes on the radar
MSFT
% from 200-day avg -16%
META
% from 200-day avg -13%
AMZN
RSI(14) 22
AMD
% from 200-day avg +98%
NFLX
RSI(14) 20
MU
% from 200-day avg +164%
INTC
% from 200-day avg +121%
DELL
20-day move +76%
MSTR
20-day move -29%
PANW
% from 200-day avg +45%
SNOW
20-day move +43%
DDOG
% from 200-day avg +50%
Built 2026-06-18T12:34:01Z. Refreshed daily. Historical data only — not financial advice.