Rarity radar · 2026-08-21
COIN is the most overbought it has been since Apr 2026
COIN's rsi(14) is at 75 — overbought, in the top 7% of its 10-year range. The last 13 times COIN reached this extreme, the median move over the next 15 trading days was +20.7% (77% finished higher).

RSI(14)
75
top 7% in 10yr
Next 15d median
+20.7%
77% higher
Last seen
Apr 2026
Read this honestly
This is a base rate from COIN's own history — what happened after prior visits to this extreme — not a prediction. 13 prior cases is a guide, not a guarantee. Extremes can persist far longer than they "should."
How Rarity Radar works
We measure COIN on several conditions (distance from its 200-day average, RSI, recent momentum) against its own 10-year history, then surface the single most extreme one and the empirical forward returns that followed prior visits to that extreme.
Go deeper
See COIN's full cohort of historical analogs and calibrated outcome distribution:
COIN cohort →Open in Chart LibraryOther extremes on the radar
MSFT
20-day move +27%
META
% from 200-day avg -12%
AMZN
RSI(14) 25
GOOGL
RSI(14) 26
DELL
% from 200-day avg +87%
PLTR
20-day move +46%
CRWD
% from 200-day avg -57%
PANW
% from 200-day avg +59%
SNOW
% from 200-day avg +54%
ABNB
% from 200-day avg +38%
SHOP
20-day move +31%
MRNA
20-day move +168%
Built 2026-08-22T12:30:04Z. Refreshed daily. Historical data only — not financial advice.