SBUX Cohort Snapshot 2026-05-18: Consensus 0.43, Bullish Bias
Today's Cohort
The live cohort_analyze pull on SBUX anchored at 2026-05-18 returned 231 historical analogs with a consensus score of 0.43. The 5-day forward median is +0.69% with IQR [-2.91%, +4.37%] and hit-rate 57%. The 10-day median is +1.27%. Conformal 80% band on the 5-day forward: [-6.00%, +7.44%].
- n=231, 5d median +0.69%, IQR [-2.91%, +4.37%]
- Hit-rate: 57%
- Cohort consensus: 0.43
- Top 5d feature: qqq_minus_spy_60d (positive direction)
Dominant Feature
The dominant 5-day feature is qqq_minus_spy_60d with positive direction (importance 1.16). Analogs where this feature was on-side shifted forward returns in the same direction. For traders, this is the underlying macro/regime read on SBUX today — independent of any specific catalyst.
How To Read The Consensus
Consensus 0.43 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. Modest sizing, conformal band [-6.00%, +7.44%] is your defined-risk envelope. Don't overweight a coin-flip cohort.
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