TSLA Cohort Snapshot 2026-06-08: Consensus 0.61, Flat Central Tendency

Today's Cohort

The live cohort_analyze pull on TSLA anchored at 2026-06-08 returned 286 historical analogs with a consensus score of 0.61. The 5-day forward median is +0.47% with IQR [-2.03%, +3.27%] and hit-rate 57%. The 10-day median is +1.02%. Conformal 80% band on the 5-day forward: [-4.97%, +4.88%].

• n=286, 5d median +0.47%, IQR [-2.03%, +3.27%]
• Hit-rate: 57%
• Cohort consensus: 0.61
• Top 5d feature: momentum_20d (positive direction)

Dominant Feature

The dominant 5-day feature is momentum_20d with positive direction (importance 1.74). Analogs where this feature was on-side shifted forward returns in the same direction. For traders, this is the underlying macro/regime read on TSLA today — independent of any specific catalyst.

How To Read The Consensus

Consensus 0.61 is in the high band — analogs agree on direction. This is an environment where the IQR is tradeable: stops at the 10th percentile (-4.97%), targets at the 75th percentile (+3.27%). Position sizing scales with the consensus.