PLTR Cohort Snapshot 2026-05-21: Consensus 0.24, Bearish Bias
Today's Cohort
The live cohort_analyze pull on PLTR anchored at 2026-05-21 returned 65 historical analogs with a consensus score of 0.24. The 5-day forward median is -1.51% with IQR [-4.92%, +2.52%] and hit-rate 40%. The 10-day median is -2.35%. Conformal 80% band on the 5-day forward: [-7.80%, +4.79%].
- n=65, 5d median -1.51%, IQR [-4.92%, +2.52%]
- Hit-rate: 40%
- Cohort consensus: 0.24
- Top 5d feature: yield_curve (negative direction)
Dominant Feature
The dominant 5-day feature is yield_curve with negative direction (importance 0.99). Analogs where this feature was on-side shifted forward returns in the same direction. For traders, this is the underlying macro/regime read on PLTR today — independent of any specific catalyst.
How To Read The Consensus
Consensus 0.24 is low — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, a macro catalyst, or simply a price move that strengthens the consensus).
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