PLTR Cohort Snapshot 2026-05-20: Consensus 0.21, Bearish Bias
Today's Cohort
The live cohort_analyze pull on PLTR anchored at 2026-05-20 returned 66 historical analogs with a consensus score of 0.21. The 5-day forward median is -1.72% with IQR [-5.66%, +1.45%] and hit-rate 39%. The 10-day median is -2.03%. Conformal 80% band on the 5-day forward: [-8.21%, +4.78%].
- n=66, 5d median -1.72%, IQR [-5.66%, +1.45%]
- Hit-rate: 39%
- Cohort consensus: 0.21
- Top 5d feature: yield_curve (negative direction)
Dominant Feature
The dominant 5-day feature is yield_curve with negative direction (importance 1.57). Analogs where this feature was on-side shifted forward returns in the same direction. For traders, this is the underlying macro/regime read on PLTR today — independent of any specific catalyst.
How To Read The Consensus
Consensus 0.21 is low — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, a macro catalyst, or simply a price move that strengthens the consensus).
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