MDB Cohort Snapshot 2026-06-04: Consensus 0.37, Bullish Bias
Today's Cohort
The live cohort_analyze pull on MDB anchored at 2026-06-04 returned 269 historical analogs with a consensus score of 0.37. The 5-day forward median is +1.09% with IQR [-2.57%, +4.54%] and hit-rate 58%. The 10-day median is +1.77%. Conformal 80% band on the 5-day forward: [-7.27%, +8.97%].
- n=269, 5d median +1.09%, IQR [-2.57%, +4.54%]
- Hit-rate: 58%
- Cohort consensus: 0.37
- Top 5d feature: days_since_earnings (positive direction)
Dominant Feature
The dominant 5-day feature is days_since_earnings with positive direction (importance 1.08). Analogs where this feature was on-side shifted forward returns in the same direction. For traders, this is the underlying macro/regime read on MDB today — independent of any specific catalyst.
How To Read The Consensus
Consensus 0.37 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. Modest sizing, conformal band [-7.27%, +8.97%] is your defined-risk envelope. Don't overweight a coin-flip cohort.
Search MDB on chartlibrary.io for the live cohort, distribution chart, and feature attribution.
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