GILD Cohort Snapshot 2026-05-26: Consensus 0.58, Bullish Bias
Today's Cohort
The live cohort_analyze pull on GILD anchored at 2026-05-26 returned 276 historical analogs with a consensus score of 0.58. The 5-day forward median is +0.62% with IQR [-2.09%, +2.59%] and hit-rate 56%. The 10-day median is +0.03%. Conformal 80% band on the 5-day forward: [-4.67%, +5.69%].
- n=276, 5d median +0.62%, IQR [-2.09%, +2.59%]
- Hit-rate: 56%
- Cohort consensus: 0.58
- Top 5d feature: hy_oas (positive direction)
Dominant Feature
The dominant 5-day feature is hy_oas with positive direction (importance 1.66). Analogs where this feature was on-side shifted forward returns in the same direction. For traders, this is the underlying macro/regime read on GILD today — independent of any specific catalyst.
How To Read The Consensus
Consensus 0.58 is in the high band — analogs agree on direction. This is an environment where the IQR is tradeable: stops at the 10th percentile (-4.67%), targets at the 75th percentile (+2.59%). Position sizing scales with the consensus.
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