GILD Cohort Snapshot 2026-05-22: Consensus 0.65, Bullish Bias

Today's Cohort

The live cohort_analyze pull on GILD anchored at 2026-05-22 returned 212 historical analogs with a consensus score of 0.65. The 5-day forward median is +0.75% with IQR [-1.76%, +2.43%] and hit-rate 58%. The 10-day median is -0.68%. Conformal 80% band on the 5-day forward: [-3.29%, +4.70%].

• n=212, 5d median +0.75%, IQR [-1.76%, +2.43%]
• Hit-rate: 58%
• Cohort consensus: 0.65
• Top 5d feature: sector_etf=XLRE (negative direction)

Dominant Feature

The dominant 5-day feature is sector_etf=XLRE with negative direction (importance 1.57). Analogs where this feature was on-side shifted forward returns in the same direction. For traders, this is the underlying macro/regime read on GILD today — independent of any specific catalyst.

How To Read The Consensus

Consensus 0.65 is in the high band — analogs agree on direction. This is an environment where the IQR is tradeable: stops at the 10th percentile (-3.29%), targets at the 75th percentile (+2.43%). Position sizing scales with the consensus.