GILD Cohort Snapshot 2026-05-08: Consensus 0.62, Bullish Bias

Today's Cohort

The live cohort_analyze pull on GILD anchored at 2026-05-08 returned 247 historical analogs with a consensus score of 0.62. The 5-day forward median is +0.57% with IQR [-1.88%, +3.16%] and hit-rate 55%. The 10-day median is +1.20%. Conformal 80% band on the 5-day forward: [-4.11%, +5.18%].

• n=247, 5d median +0.57%, IQR [-1.88%, +3.16%]
• Hit-rate: 55%
• Cohort consensus: 0.62
• Top 5d feature: sector_etf=XLU (positive direction)

Dominant Feature

The dominant 5-day feature is sector_etf=XLU with positive direction (importance 1.20). Analogs where this feature was on-side shifted forward returns in the same direction. For traders, this is the underlying macro/regime read on GILD today — independent of any specific catalyst.

How To Read The Consensus

Consensus 0.62 is in the high band — analogs agree on direction. This is an environment where the IQR is tradeable: stops at the 10th percentile (-4.11%), targets at the 75th percentile (+3.16%). Position sizing scales with the consensus.